NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	6.7 [498]		MVP	Ben McLemore (HOU): +17.7%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	1.0 [1038]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -17.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	9	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.05	0.05	14	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	14	49%	0.05	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Danuel House Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
James Harden	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	34	45%	-0.03	8	-0.14	23	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Paul Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.07	0.06	30	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	18	89%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.03	15	53%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	29.2	14.8	25.2	1.7	35.2	137.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +50.6%

ATL -1.5%

HOU +0.1%

ATL -0.0%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.0	14.2	111.9	106.5	109.6
season	13.4	13.8		111.2	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	10.6	11.4	15.6	17.2	13.6
ATL	14.7	13.4	13.2	10.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	73	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-7	21	13.2	14.2	-1.03	13.4	12.1	1.33
P.J. Tucker	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-11	29	13.9	12.9	0.98	13.0	13.0	-0.07
Eric Gordon	70	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	2	3	13.9	12.9	1.03	12.3	14.2	-1.96
Austin Rivers	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-5	17	12.3	15.0	-2.70	14.4	11.1	3.30
James Harden	90	90	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	10	-13	13.8	12.6	1.12	12.7	14.2	-1.42
Clint Capela	83	82	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.47	-10	17	-27	14.2	11.6	2.55	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Danuel House Jr.	86	84	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	11	-15	13.5	13.7	-0.12	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Isaiah Hartenstein	9	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	11.7	13.7	-2.06	15.8	12.7	3.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	51	53	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.27	13	-20	33	12.5	13.4	-0.93	13.8	13.3	0.53
Paul Watson	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-9	11	15.0	12.8	2.20	10.6	13.8	-3.27
Vince Carter	19	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	14.1	12.8	1.30	15.0	13.2	1.73
Cam Reddish	41	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-5	3	12.7	13.2	-0.48	13.1	13.9	-0.77
De'Andre Hunter	57	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	11.5	14.6	-3.12	15.3	11.5	3.84
DeAndre' Bembry	18	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	3	-13	14.9	12.6	2.36	12.7	13.7	-1.06
Trae Young	90	91	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	12.4	15.9	-3.56	13.5	13.7	-0.13
Damian Jones	6	6	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	3	-13	19.0	12.6	6.37	14.7	13.5	1.17
Brandon Goodwin	29	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	9	-25	14.1	12.6	1.53	12.3	14.0	-1.71
Kevin Huerter	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	12.9	13.5	-0.67	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Allen Crabbe	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	6	-19	14.1	11.8	2.26	12.7	14.5	-1.81
John Collins	77	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	12.8	13.5	-0.80	13.8	13.1	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.28,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0	94.0%
IND 99, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.09,0	93.9%
LAC 94, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.02,0	93.7%