NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	5.6 [666]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +37.4%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	1.0 [950]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (POR): -21.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.28	0.21	0.14	0.07	21	68%	0.30	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.11	0.01	23	52%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	9	83%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	13	41%	-0.16	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.29,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.23	0.07	19	71%	0.39	2	-0.02	11	73%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.02	0.02	15	87%	0.23	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	7	80%	0.12	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.03	15	46%	0.09	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	12	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	4	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	27.2	16.6	30.0	2.8	35.2	139.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.8%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +4.8%

POR -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	14.2	119.8	128.7	109.6
season	14.4	14.9		111.9	112.1
opponent	14.2	13.9		109.4	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	14.2	14.2	12.1	14.2
UTA	18.3	15.2	14.6	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	36	35	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.29	16	-22	38	13.0	14.9	-1.98	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Anfernee Simons	57	56	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.61	22	-28	50	12.8	16.2	-3.36	16.4	15.7	0.79
Skal Labissiere	55	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.57	19	-25	44	12.7	16.2	-3.55	16.7	15.5	1.22
Nassir Little	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	12.0	14.9	-2.90	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Carmelo Anthony	73	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	14.9	12.0	2.90	16.1	16.1	0.05
CJ McCollum	76	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-2	-2	14.7	12.4	2.22	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Kent Bazemore	44	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.14	-23	17	-40	16.1	12.6	3.43	15.8	16.4	-0.54
Hassan Whiteside	41	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.28	-28	22	-50	16.2	12.7	3.55	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Damian Lillard	75	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.05	-26	20	-46	14.3	14.0	0.33	16.0	16.6	-0.63

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	75	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	15.9	17.0	-1.09	14.1	14.5	-0.33
Royce O'Neale	60	62	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-14	34	15.9	16.5	-0.63	14.6	13.5	1.14
Joe Ingles	70	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	4	-2	16.3	15.5	0.84	14.7	13.1	1.55
Rudy Gobert	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-7	20	16.3	15.8	0.50	14.8	12.5	2.34
Bojan Bogdanovic	69	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-6	18	16.3	15.6	0.72	15.0	11.9	3.06
Ed Davis	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	8	-10	15.0	16.4	-1.43	11.7	14.9	-3.25
Georges Niang	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	11	-16	15.9	16.2	-0.38	13.1	14.7	-1.58
Emmanuel Mudiay	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.4	16.0	0.42	12.8	14.9	-2.09
Tony Bradley	6	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	11	-16	18.3	16.0	2.36	16.0	14.1	1.89
Jordan Clarkson	41	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.27	-14	20	-34	16.1	16.1	0.03	13.5	14.8	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.96,1	93.9%
BOS 92, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.67,0.92,1	93.9%
ATL 94, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.96,1	93.3%