NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	111		Excitement	8.9 [185]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +46.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	7.7 [145]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -16.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.46	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.46,0.46	0.21	0.27	0.02	19	76%	0.55	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.10
Montrezl Harrell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.04	12	69%	0.28	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	48%	0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	18	40%	-0.12	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	4	-0.16	6	67%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	8	72%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.02	-0.00	17	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	24	44%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.19	3	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.05	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	8	37%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	31.4	14.7	31.1	2.7	40.1	148.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.0%

LAC +29.9%

LAC +15.8%

LAL -5.6%

LAL -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	14.2	112.1	103.9	109.6
season	13.8	14.2		113.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		106.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	12.3	13.7	15.4	13.8
LAL	15.2	13.8	14.5	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	62	64	1.24	-0.74	1.97	0.47	26	-21	47	14.7	12.4	2.32	15.7	13.4	2.30
Kawhi Leonard	76	80	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.33	13	-8	21	14.2	12.7	1.48	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Montrezl Harrell	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	4	-3	13.2	15.2	-2.05	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Lou Williams	62	65	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	13.0	15.3	-2.35	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Paul George	75	76	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.37	-8	13	-21	14.7	11.2	3.40	15.1	13.8	1.30
Ivica Zubac	32	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	3	-1	15.2	13.2	2.05	15.7	14.4	1.34
JaMychal Green	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.06	1	4	-3	13.8	13.8	-0.02	13.9	15.0	-1.03
Maurice Harkless	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	12.1	14.8	-2.74	14.8	14.8	-0.06
Patrick Patterson	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	12	-19	15.9	13.1	2.79	15.4	14.6	0.76
Landry Shamet	43	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.21	-2	7	-9	12.0	15.2	-3.19	14.4	15.2	-0.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-4	3	16.8	14.1	2.62	12.5	14.3	-1.80
Kyle Kuzma	59	59	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-15	25	13.7	16.3	-2.57	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	14.5	15.2	-0.68	13.7	14.0	-0.33
Alex Caruso	27	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	0	-5	13.2	15.4	-2.21	11.1	14.7	-3.62
JaVale McGee	32	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	2	-9	15.8	14.4	1.46	14.6	13.5	1.07
Avery Bradley	37	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.3	1.48	13.6	14.0	-0.37
LeBron James	79	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	15.3	13.1	2.17	14.7	10.7	4.01
Rajon Rondo	45	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.1	-0.54	13.2	14.4	-1.26
Danny Green	59	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	3	-11	15.1	14.4	0.76	14.7	12.7	1.98
Anthony Davis	85	81	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	5	-15	14.4	17.0	-2.62	14.0	12.9	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.45,0.34,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0	91.0%
WAS 88, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.28,0	90.8%
CLE 97, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.27,0	90.6%