NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	7.9 [304]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +39.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Comeback	9.5 [135]		LVP	Paul George (LAC): -17.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.01	6	74%	0.20	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Montrezl Harrell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	17	49%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.01	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,-0.02,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	20	47%	0.18	4	-0.21	7	100%	0.05
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	17	45%	0.01	5	-0.19	6	67%	-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.12,0.36,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.33	0.03	17	65%	0.48	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	25	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	46%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	31.2	15.3	28.3	1.8	32.4	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +22.4%

LAC -16.8%

OKC +11.9%

OKC +28.7%

OKC +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	14.2	108.7	114.6	109.6
season	13.8	14.3		113.2	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		107.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	14.3	14.4	15.4	14.6
OKC	14.0	12.3	13.2	14.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	40	41	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.04	17	-23	40	13.7	15.1	-1.40	13.5	13.3	0.22
Rodney McGruder	33	33	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.06	10	-16	26	15.2	14.3	0.97	14.1	13.0	1.09
Derrick Walton Jr.	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-7	8	14.7	14.6	0.11	14.5	13.1	1.41
Ivica Zubac	41	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	1	-8	15.3	14.1	1.14	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Patrick Patterson	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	4	-14	14.7	14.5	0.14	12.7	13.8	-1.02
Montrezl Harrell	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.4	14.9	-0.54	13.4	13.3	0.17
Landry Shamet	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-6	6	14.3	15.2	-0.94	13.2	13.7	-0.42
Lou Williams	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	1	-8	14.6	14.7	-0.11	13.1	14.5	-1.41
Paul George	74	75	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.34	-16	10	-26	14.4	15.0	-0.58	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Maurice Harkless	53	51	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.36	-17	11	-28	15.1	14.0	1.09	13.9	12.9	1.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrance Ferguson	60	60	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.40	17	-11	28	13.3	13.4	-0.11	15.0	14.0	0.92
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	74	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-10	26	13.2	13.8	-0.61	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Dennis Schroder	73	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-3	12	12.8	14.9	-2.15	14.3	15.3	-1.06
Chris Paul	75	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	7	-8	13.4	13.4	0.03	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Steven Adams	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	10	-14	12.8	14.7	-1.86	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Nerlens Noel	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	-4	14	14.7	12.8	1.86	16.3	13.8	2.46
Darius Bazley	51	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	0	6	14.5	12.3	2.16	15.6	13.6	1.96
Mike Muscala	17	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	14.6	13.1	1.52	13.1	14.9	-1.78
Abdel Nader	34	35	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.11	-6	12	-18	13.3	13.4	-0.08	14.6	14.6	0.07
Deonte Burton	27	26	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.09	-8	14	-22	12.8	13.6	-0.76	14.4	14.6	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.29,0.53,0.84,1	90.8%
LAC 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,1	90.5%
NOH 77, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.47,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.55,0.57,0.92,1	90.4%