NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	6.3 [571]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +29.0%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	1.2 [936]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -15.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.18	0.10	-0.01	7	107%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	18	49%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.11	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.06	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	71%	0.14	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.02	16	51%	0.02	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	30	37%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.4	15.4	26.4	2.5	31.2	131.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.4%

ATL -1.7%

ATL -2.2%

IND +9.2%

ATL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.2	14.2	102.8	94.3	109.6
season	14.4	13.8		108.7	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	13.2	16.0	13.3	13.9
ATL	12.0	12.9	14.6	13.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-3	16	13.4	14.6	-1.24	13.0	13.4	-0.46
Aaron Holiday	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	12.8	14.9	-2.18	12.9	13.4	-0.52
T.J. McConnell	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-1	12	12.9	14.4	-1.48	13.2	13.1	0.11
Domantas Sabonis	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	14.6	12.5	2.11	13.2	13.0	0.19
Justin Holiday	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	2	6	12.9	14.8	-1.88	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Jeremy Lamb	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	14.7	13.0	1.71	13.5	12.8	0.74
Myles Turner	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	14.0	13.7	0.28	13.7	12.6	1.12
T.J. Warren	69	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	11	-12	14.4	12.9	1.54	13.1	13.2	-0.13
Malcolm Brogdon	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	11	-12	14.4	12.9	1.48	13.1	13.2	-0.11
TJ Leaf	3	4	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	7	-4	13.7	13.9	-0.23	10.5	13.3	-2.75
Goga Bitadze	4	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	13.5	13.9	-0.40	10.0	13.2	-3.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	29	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-12	14	12.7	13.3	-0.64	13.5	14.0	-0.57
DeAndre' Bembry	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-8	6	4.0	13.2	-9.24	24.0	13.8	10.21
Alex Len	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	13.0	13.2	-0.20	13.3	14.4	-1.04
Trae Young	81	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-8	6	13.1	13.2	-0.01	14.4	12.0	2.38
Cam Reddish	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	12.9	13.6	-0.71	13.2	15.2	-1.97
Kevin Huerter	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.1	13.2	-0.11	14.6	12.8	1.81
Damian Jones	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	13.6	12.9	0.76	14.9	13.3	1.58
Allen Crabbe	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-7	4	13.3	13.0	0.32	12.1	16.0	-3.82
Jabari Parker	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	0	-10	13.1	13.2	-0.09	14.3	13.3	1.06
De'Andre Hunter	81	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	6	-22	13.4	12.2	1.19	14.1	13.1	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	95.8%
MIL 118, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.2,0.03,0,0,0	94.5%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.5%