NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	124		Excitement	8.8 [190]		MVP	Marcus Morris Sr. (NYK): +42.7%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	1.5 [465]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (NYK): -13.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43	0.26	0.30	0.13	18	75%	0.45	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.10
Bobby Portis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.03	8	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
RJ Barrett	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.10	0.02	16	61%	0.17	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.04	16	57%	0.19	4	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	14	50%	0.00	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.21,0.07,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.28	0.03	27	56%	0.54	2	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	14	55%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ky Bowman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	14	53%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jacob Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	0.01	11	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	29.8	14.8	29.8	1.8	35.8	1.8	14.0	155.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.0%

NYK +7.5%

NYK +29.1%

GSW -6.9%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.2	112.7	110.9	109.6
season	14.5	14.1		105.4	103.9
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.8	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.4	15.0	14.5	16.3	15.2	15.1
GSW	15.0	15.0	13.7	12.5	12.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	79	81	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.52	13	-11	24	14.9	15.4	-0.51	13.5	14.9	-1.46
RJ Barrett	97	96	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.78	0	2	-2	15.1	14.8	0.32	13.7	15.2	-1.56
Marcus Morris Sr.	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	15.0	15.2	-0.22	13.5	14.7	-1.27
Damyean Dotson	33	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-13	28	14.8	15.2	-0.42	14.8	13.4	1.43
Elfrid Payton	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.5	-0.79	13.2	14.7	-1.55
Mitchell Robinson	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	6	-10	14.6	15.7	-1.12	13.9	13.9	0.00
Taj Gibson	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	15.7	14.8	0.82	14.2	13.7	0.48
Kevin Knox II	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	5	-8	15.2	15.0	0.22	14.7	13.5	1.27
Bobby Portis	50	49	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	10	-18	15.5	14.6	0.89	14.3	13.5	0.78
Frank Ntilikina	28	27	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	-0.25	-10	12	-22	16.0	14.7	1.32	14.9	13.5	1.32

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omari Spellman	31	30	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.08	10	-12	22	14.9	13.4	1.51	16.2	14.6	1.62
Ky Bowman	32	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-5	8	14.4	13.6	0.82	15.1	15.1	0.01
Damion Lee	31	31	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-11	20	14.0	13.8	0.16	16.1	14.6	1.45
Willie Cauley-Stein	48	46	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-7	12	14.1	13.6	0.48	14.6	15.4	-0.73
Eric Paschall	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	14.7	13.4	1.25	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Jacob Evans	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	4	-10	15.0	13.7	1.29	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Kevon Looney	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	7	-16	15.5	13.7	1.78	12.2	15.4	-3.19
Alec Burks	67	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-4	6	13.7	14.1	-0.39	15.3	14.6	0.79
Glenn Robinson III	77	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	5	-12	13.3	15.2	-1.90	14.5	16.4	-1.92
D'Angelo Russell	73	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-2	2	13.6	14.4	-0.79	15.2	14.7	0.58
Draymond Green	84	85	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	8	-18	13.3	15.5	-2.21	14.6	16.5	-1.84
Marquese Chriss	48	49	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.70	-3	1	-4	13.6	14.1	-0.48	16.0	14.3	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.43,0.17,0.54,0.45,0.1,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.31,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	90.0%
MIL 124, LAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.42,0.5,0.39,0.16,0.02,0.09,0	88.4%
MIL 109, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.35,0.4,0.2,0.28,0.57,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.16,0.04,0	87.9%