NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	79		Excitement	3.9 [948]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +10.6%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.8 [813]		LVP	Glenn Robinson III (GSW): -11.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Paschall	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.09	11	89%	0.12	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	16	41%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ky Bowman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.09	11	36%	0.01	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.03	14	56%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	8	80%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	73%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	0.02	19	60%	0.09	7	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	15	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	25.6	14.5	24.5	2.5	25.8	120.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.8%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +3.2%

ATL +17.7%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.2	81.4	109.5	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		103.9	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		113.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	17.6	17.3	14.2	15.5
ATL	14.3	13.7	14.7	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-17	9	15.4	15.5	-0.08	15.6	13.8	1.85
Marquese Chriss	44	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-16	7	14.6	16.2	-1.65	13.5	15.3	-1.74
Kevon Looney	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-20	15	17.3	14.8	2.50	16.5	13.7	2.81
Glenn Robinson III	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-15	5	15.0	16.8	-1.81	15.5	12.1	3.44
Jordan Poole	42	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.38	-23	-2	-21	16.3	14.9	1.44	12.3	16.0	-3.71
Ky Bowman	77	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-7	-11	14.8	18.2	-3.41	14.1	16.1	-2.03
Alec Burks	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-17	9	15.5	15.4	0.14	15.8	12.1	3.70
Eric Paschall	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	-8	-9	15.7	14.8	0.89	14.5	14.4	0.11
Omari Spellman	59	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.33	-27	2	-29	16.0	14.7	1.25	12.9	16.6	-3.76

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	36	39	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.46	32	-7	39	12.7	15.6	-2.85	18.0	13.8	4.19
Jabari Parker	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	10	5	15.2	13.5	1.67	16.1	14.7	1.33
Cam Reddish	48	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	11	3	12.9	16.2	-3.32	15.0	16.1	-1.15
Trae Young	67	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	17	-9	15.4	12.4	2.93	14.8	17.1	-2.29
Damian Jones	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	14	-3	15.3	13.6	1.73	15.3	15.7	-0.38
De'Andre Hunter	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	22	-19	15.4	12.7	2.65	14.9	16.6	-1.73
DeAndre' Bembry	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	18	-11	15.9	12.5	3.40	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Alex Len	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	13	-1	13.3	15.2	-1.87	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Tyrone Wallace	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	16	-7	12.4	15.1	-2.77	16.0	15.3	0.71
Bruno Fernando	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	22	-19	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.9	15.4	0.49
Vince Carter	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	13	-1	13.0	15.0	-1.97	16.2	15.2	1.00
Brandon Goodwin	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	13.4	14.6	-1.16	10.8	15.8	-4.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 117, ORL 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 80, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIL 109, BOS 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%