NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	1.9 [1126]		MVP	Ben McLemore (HOU): +8.8%
Houston Rockets	158		Comeback	1.1 [1125]		LVP	DeAndre' Bembry (ATL): -10.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.25	0.06	0.24	16	82%	0.10	3	-0.04	13	92%	0.02
Damian Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	73%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	7	86%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.08	15	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	9	23%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.20	0.00	0.11	14	86%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.48	0.00	0.40	24	85%	0.12	5	-0.04	23	87%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Clemons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	10	80%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.02	11	62%	0.06	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	87%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	34.3	14.5	30.2	1.6	25.2	131.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.9%

ATL -2.2%

HOU +9.2%

HOU +0.1%

HOU +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	12.4	14.2	106.7	149.1	109.6
season	13.8	13.4		106.6	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.0		108.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.6	13.4	16.2	13.2	15.1
HOU	10.8	12.3	11.5	15.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	32	32	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-40	33	16.3	14.5	1.81	13.1	12.1	0.95
Vince Carter	39	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.28	-13	-34	21	15.9	14.6	1.34	14.2	11.4	2.75
Alex Len	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-39	31	13.0	16.1	-3.06	12.5	12.4	0.09
Chandler Parsons	37	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.35	-16	-31	15	13.5	15.9	-2.48	11.7	12.8	-1.04
Evan Turner	34	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.42	-20	-27	7	16.0	14.6	1.40	10.2	13.5	-3.33
Tyrone Wallace	35	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.49	-23	-24	1	16.5	14.3	2.11	10.9	13.2	-2.23
Allen Crabbe	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-35	23	14.4	15.8	-1.35	13.2	11.6	1.55
DeAndre' Bembry	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.65	-31	-16	-15	16.0	14.3	1.70	11.2	13.5	-2.30
Damian Jones	31	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.39	-23	-24	1	15.5	14.8	0.70	11.7	12.7	-1.02
Jabari Parker	44	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.66	-33	-14	-19	15.0	15.1	-0.02	12.2	12.6	-0.39
Trae Young	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.39	-24	-23	-1	14.3	16.5	-2.11	13.2	10.9	2.23
De'Andre Hunter	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.41	-25	-22	-3	15.1	15.0	0.06	13.5	10.8	2.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.72	39	8	31	12.7	11.8	0.92	14.9	15.4	-0.52
James Harden	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-1.07	50	-3	53	11.7	13.6	-1.85	16.0	13.4	2.62
Gary Clark	53	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.17	18	29	-11	12.7	12.1	0.53	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Ben McLemore	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.79	38	9	29	12.5	12.2	0.32	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Russell Westbrook	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.73	36	11	25	11.8	13.3	-1.51	15.1	15.0	0.18
Austin Rivers	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.29	21	26	-5	12.5	12.1	0.42	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Isaiah Hartenstein	46	47	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.29	15	32	-17	11.5	13.1	-1.62	15.1	15.0	0.17
Tyson Chandler	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.44	19	28	-9	11.7	12.6	-0.91	17.3	14.5	2.78
Thabo Sefolosha	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	45	-43	13.0	12.1	0.87	15.6	14.8	0.76
Chris Clemons	33	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	50	-53	14.5	11.5	2.99	13.9	15.5	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
GSW 79, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DET 79, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%