NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	7.2 [412]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +26.9%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.5 [693]		LVP	Bobby Portis (NYK): -12.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.00	17	62%	0.27	0	0.00	14	93%	0.07
Joe Harris	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.01	13	46%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dzanan Musa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Theo Pinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	8	75%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	17	72%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	10	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	26.7	15.3	29.5	2.4	43.0	142.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -10.2%

BKN +18.9%

BKN +14.0%

BKN +22.0%

BKN +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NYK	NBA	BKN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.2	106.2	106.3	109.6
season	14.1	14.5		108.0	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	16.2	16.7	15.5	15.5
NYK	13.9	13.8	15.3	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	71	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-6	14	15.1	16.5	-1.39	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Taurean Prince	70	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-4	10	15.2	16.3	-1.18	14.7	14.1	0.53
Dzanan Musa	46	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	-4	10	15.7	15.3	0.32	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Jarrett Allen	65	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-3	8	15.2	16.2	-1.00	14.6	14.4	0.17
Garrett Temple	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.34	15.2	12.5	2.68
Joe Harris	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	-1	4	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.9	12.6	3.20
DeAndre Jordan	31	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	3	-4	16.7	14.9	1.75	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Iman Shumpert	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	10	-18	15.9	15.2	0.79	13.7	15.1	-1.49
Theo Pinson	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	8	-14	16.6	14.9	1.70	13.5	15.1	-1.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-7	12	15.2	13.9	1.30	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Kevin Knox II	35	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	3	-8	13.9	14.8	-0.94	15.8	15.3	0.53
Mitchell Robinson	37	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-2	2	13.3	15.3	-1.98	15.7	15.3	0.35
Damyean Dotson	43	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-3	4	13.6	15.3	-1.73	16.7	14.6	2.16
Dennis Smith Jr.	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	0	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.69	15.0	15.9	-0.83
Julius Randle	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-2	2	15.2	13.1	2.12	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Frank Ntilikina	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-3	4	14.9	13.8	1.10	15.8	14.9	0.94
Marcus Morris Sr.	64	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	0	-2	14.5	14.6	-0.11	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Bobby Portis	33	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	8	-18	14.8	14.4	0.43	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Wayne Ellington	56	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	14.8	14.1	0.68	15.1	16.1	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0	93.1%
MIA 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%
MIN 105, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%