NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	2.8 [1062]		MVP	Markieff Morris (DET): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	128		Comeback	2.1 [789]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -8.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.00	-0.10	17	49%	0.12	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
DeAndre' Bembry	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	13	85%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	12	35%	-0.02	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	5	93%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	100%	0.11	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	16	64%	0.09	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.01	0.09	16	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.09	4	110%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	26.9	14.6	24.4	2.5	25.5	122.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.5%

ATL -3.5%

DET +4.2%

DET +9.0%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	14.2	104.0	130.6	109.6
season	13.8	15.1		106.6	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.7	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	12.8	15.0	14.8	13.8
DET	13.7	15.5	18.5	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-31	37	13.4	14.1	-0.66	17.6	13.8	3.81
Damian Jones	50	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-20	15	13.4	14.2	-0.82	17.0	13.8	3.19
De'Andre Hunter	70	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	-15	5	14.3	12.7	1.61	16.7	12.4	4.32
Chandler Parsons	34	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-26	27	14.3	13.6	0.75	14.1	16.1	-1.97
Alex Len	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-25	25	13.5	14.0	-0.44	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Trae Young	64	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.27	-14	-11	-3	14.0	13.6	0.40	16.9	12.9	3.95
DeAndre' Bembry	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-14	3	13.7	14.0	-0.29	16.8	12.0	4.79
Tyrone Wallace	21	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-18	11	13.5	13.9	-0.45	12.2	16.3	-4.11
Bruno Fernando	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.19	-17	-8	-9	13.7	13.9	-0.12	11.2	16.7	-5.49
Evan Turner	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-10	-5	13.7	13.8	-0.10	12.9	16.1	-3.10
Allen Crabbe	49	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.23	-24	-1	-23	13.9	13.8	0.06	13.3	17.5	-4.21
Vince Carter	21	21	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.38	-29	4	-33	14.0	13.8	0.16	11.9	16.4	-4.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	37	38	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	3	19	14.0	16.3	-2.32	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Svi Mykhailiuk	65	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	8	9	14.7	16.9	-2.25	13.9	13.6	0.30
Markieff Morris	25	27	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	14	-3	13.4	16.1	-2.66	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Bruce Brown	67	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.34	21	4	17	16.1	14.0	2.03	14.0	13.5	0.41
Thon Maker	26	25	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	17	-9	13.5	16.1	-2.56	11.8	14.5	-2.71
Andre Drummond	54	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	14	-3	16.2	14.4	1.83	13.9	13.7	0.19
Luke Kennard	62	63	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.33	19	6	13	16.0	14.4	1.67	14.6	12.5	2.09
Blake Griffin	66	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.36	18	7	11	16.5	13.1	3.41	14.3	12.8	1.52
Langston Galloway	56	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	25	-25	16.2	14.3	1.90	13.1	14.7	-1.54
Christian Wood	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	23	-21	14.6	15.7	-1.04	14.7	13.5	1.22
Tim Frazier	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	12.0	15.7	-3.68	9.8	14.1	-4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 82, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
IND 89, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%