NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	135		Excitement	5.8 [638]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +20.6%
Atlanta Hawks	127		Comeback	2.1 [876]		LVP	Alex Len (ATL): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.04	-0.03	17	70%	0.27	4	-0.06	13	62%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.03	0.06	17	62%	0.05	6	-0.11	11	82%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.22	-0.01	0.12	12	82%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	10	71%	0.15	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	22	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.7	25.5	17.3	31.3	1.8	44.0	151.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +37.3%

MIL +3.5%

MIL +9.5%

ATL -4.2%

MIL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	12.2	13.2	14.2	120.5	111.4	109.6
season	13.2	13.8		111.0	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.1		113.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.1	14.5	11.3	12.4	12.2
ATL	13.3	13.8	13.9	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	37	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-7	22	12.3	12.2	0.08	12.8	13.4	-0.59
Sterling Brown	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	3	2	11.8	12.6	-0.72	11.7	14.4	-2.63
Brook Lopez	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	-9	26	12.0	12.5	-0.47	14.2	12.2	2.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	-9	26	12.1	12.5	-0.44	13.5	12.8	0.67
Donte DiVincenzo	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.31	-1	9	-10	11.9	12.7	-0.81	13.8	12.6	1.20
George Hill	54	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	2	4	12.6	11.9	0.71	12.3	14.0	-1.71
Eric Bledsoe	56	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	4	0	12.1	12.4	-0.23	14.2	12.2	2.03
D.J. Wilson	43	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.45	-9	17	-26	12.5	12.1	0.44	12.8	13.5	-0.67
Wesley Matthews	61	63	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	12.5	11.9	0.66	14.1	12.2	1.88
Robin Lopez	45	46	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	13	-18	12.8	11.9	0.90	13.1	13.4	-0.29
Kyle Korver	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.31	-12	20	-32	12.2	12.3	-0.11	11.4	13.9	-2.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	31	32	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.23	13	-21	34	13.9	13.0	0.92	13.8	11.6	2.24
Bruno Fernando	27	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-18	28	13.9	13.0	0.85	14.4	11.5	2.90
DeAndre' Bembry	61	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-18	28	11.6	15.1	-3.51	11.8	12.7	-0.95
Damian Jones	46	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-1	-6	14.2	12.6	1.64	12.2	12.2	0.01
Allen Crabbe	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-4	0	12.5	13.8	-1.27	11.9	12.5	-0.64
Jabari Parker	67	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-4	0	12.8	13.9	-1.15	11.7	13.0	-1.25
Vince Carter	53	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	13.6	12.9	0.76	12.7	11.8	0.88
Alex Len	22	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	6	-20	13.7	13.1	0.55	11.2	12.5	-1.23
Cam Reddish	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	0	-8	13.8	12.5	1.31	12.3	12.2	0.12
De'Andre Hunter	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	13.8	12.5	1.31	12.4	12.0	0.41
Trae Young	83	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	13	-34	13.0	13.9	-0.92	11.6	13.8	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.14,0.26,0.41,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
MIA 99, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
MEM 93, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%