NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	121		Excitement	7.3 [393]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +37.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Comeback	2.9 [680]		LVP	Darius Bazley (OKC): -10.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.37	0.08	0.29	-0.00	11	68%	0.39	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	15	74%	0.26	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	19	74%	0.37	7	-0.25	9	78%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	63%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,0.14	0.14	-0.06	0.20	0.00	17	36%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.04	0.10	12	83%	0.19	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	19	58%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	71%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	27.2	13.7	25.4	2.4	40.7	135.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +37.6%

MIL +17.9%

MIL +12.3%

OKC -16.8%

OKC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	OKC	NBA	MIL	OKC	NBA
this game	11.4	15.2	14.2	111.0	110.2	109.6
season	13.2	14.3		111.0	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		107.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	10.6	13.9	12.2	9.7	11.4
OKC	16.1	16.1	15.5	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	82	82	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-13	28	11.1	12.3	-1.24	15.5	14.2	1.22
Brook Lopez	67	66	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-13	28	11.6	11.0	0.58	16.3	13.3	3.06
Eric Bledsoe	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	-2	6	10.5	13.0	-2.48	15.6	14.4	1.24
Wesley Matthews	72	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	1	0	11.3	11.5	-0.21	15.9	13.8	2.13
Khris Middleton	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-8	18	12.0	11.0	0.97	17.0	13.7	3.24
George Hill	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	7	-12	11.6	11.2	0.41	13.9	16.4	-2.54
Pat Connaughton	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-3	8	10.7	11.7	-0.92	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Donte DiVincenzo	22	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	4	-6	10.8	11.6	-0.73	13.0	15.6	-2.59
Robin Lopez	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	4	-6	11.0	11.5	-0.56	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Ersan Ilyasova	37	38	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.13	-13	15	-28	12.7	10.7	2.01	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Sterling Brown	44	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.25	-18	20	-38	12.2	10.9	1.34	13.3	16.4	-3.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	66	68	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.50	18	-20	38	14.4	16.4	-2.00	12.0	10.4	1.55
Hamidou Diallo	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-1	0	14.6	15.6	-1.07	12.4	10.6	1.81
Mike Muscala	40	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-1	0	14.7	15.4	-0.73	12.0	11.0	0.93
Darius Bazley	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-1	0	15.1	15.2	-0.14	11.7	11.2	0.53
Terrance Ferguson	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	6	-14	16.7	13.8	2.93	12.2	10.7	1.51
Danilo Gallinari	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-1	0	15.2	15.1	0.14	11.2	11.7	-0.53
Nerlens Noel	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-1	0	15.4	14.7	0.73	11.0	12.0	-0.93
Chris Paul	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	15.6	14.3	1.27	11.1	12.0	-0.93
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	88	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	6	-14	14.8	16.6	-1.83	10.2	16.5	-6.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.17,0.11,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.5%
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
CHI 119, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%