NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	119		Excitement	11.6 [28]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +57.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	125		Comeback	44.2 [70]		LVP	Eric Paschall (GSW): -29.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.54	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.54	0.24	0.31	0.01	37	63%	0.67	3	-0.14	8	87%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	10	69%	0.23	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Marquese Chriss	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	5	40%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ky Bowman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	8	12%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	10	46%	-0.05	3	-0.24	6	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.58	0.58	0.15	0.42	-0.01	33	54%	0.58	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.08
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.02	0.19	-0.01	10	58%	0.29	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	15	49%	0.03	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	5	14%	-0.13	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.9	1.8	28.7	15.0	29.2	1.8	36.1	2.5	17.4	160.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +5.1%

GSW -4.8%

MIN +25.0%

MIN +25.5%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.0	13.4	14.2	97.5	105.0	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		103.9	107.1
opponent	13.8	14.3		110.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.2	12.9	12.3	14.2	11.1	13.0
MIN	13.4	14.8	12.9	11.4	16.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	56	58	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.34	-4	-2	-2	13.6	12.4	1.19	13.0	13.8	-0.87
Omari Spellman	36	35	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-7	8	12.8	13.1	-0.29	13.0	13.6	-0.54
Ky Bowman	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-5	4	13.4	12.9	0.53	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Damion Lee	64	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-7	8	12.6	13.4	-0.75	13.2	13.7	-0.51
Willie Cauley-Stein	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.3	12.7	0.53	14.3	12.7	1.57
Marquese Chriss	30	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	12.7	13.1	-0.38	12.3	13.8	-1.50
D'Angelo Russell	93	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-4	2	13.0	12.9	0.07	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Alec Burks	72	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-4	2	12.6	13.6	-1.01	13.6	13.1	0.56
Glenn Robinson III	98	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	12.7	14.3	-1.68	13.8	11.8	2.00
Eric Paschall	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	3	-12	13.5	12.2	1.28	13.3	13.5	-0.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	100	103	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.48	13	-7	20	13.2	14.4	-1.14	13.0	13.2	-0.21
Robert Covington	80	83	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.42	12	-6	18	13.5	13.2	0.27	12.8	13.4	-0.66
Josh Okogie	70	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	13.6	13.1	0.46	12.5	13.7	-1.24
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-4	14	13.3	13.6	-0.30	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Jake Layman	66	69	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	3	0	13.5	13.3	0.16	12.5	13.6	-1.06
Jarrett Culver	53	51	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	13.2	13.5	-0.30	13.7	12.5	1.17
Gorgui Dieng	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	6	-6	14.4	13.3	1.10	12.7	13.0	-0.37
Noah Vonleh	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	12	-18	13.3	13.4	-0.15	13.5	12.9	0.65
Treveon Graham	64	62	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	11	-16	13.1	13.7	-0.59	13.8	12.1	1.74
Jordan McLaughlin	33	35	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.20	-9	15	-24	12.9	13.6	-0.70	13.6	12.7	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.85,1	90.7%
CHA 98, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.83,1	90.6%
ORL 81, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	90.0%