NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	2.8 [1070]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.2 [546]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -9.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	6	108%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.17	0.00	0.12	13	90%	0.09	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	76%	0.02	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Coby White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	13	31%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	8	74%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.05	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.01	4	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	8	28%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.03	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.0	26.5	14.6	34.0	1.5	28.4	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.0%

ATL -7.4%

CHI +5.5%

CHI +14.7%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	12.8	13.9	14.2	104.6	86.1	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		105.3	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.7	12.3	12.2	14.9	12.8
ATL	15.0	13.4	13.5	13.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-4	28	12.6	13.1	-0.47	14.5	12.9	1.65
Lauri Markkanen	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	1	18	12.5	13.5	-0.99	14.8	11.7	3.12
Tomas Satoransky	69	69	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	3	14	12.4	13.4	-1.07	14.2	13.4	0.87
Coby White	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	13	-6	13.2	11.9	1.35	13.0	15.4	-2.34
Wendell Carter Jr.	28	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	4	12	13.0	12.7	0.29	14.6	13.6	0.99
Otto Porter Jr.	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	8	4	11.4	13.2	-1.83	14.6	13.7	0.93
Thaddeus Young	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	18	-16	12.8	12.7	0.08	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Kris Dunn	47	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	13	-6	11.5	13.7	-2.23	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Chandler Hutchison	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.27	12	8	4	11.7	13.5	-1.86	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Ryan Arcidiacono	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	20	-20	14.4	11.9	2.54	14.1	13.8	0.25
Luke Kornet	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	21	-22	14.3	12.5	1.77	12.6	14.1	-1.55
Daniel Gafford	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	20.5	12.3	8.21	11.8	14.0	-2.21
Shaquille Harrison	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	29	-38	17.7	12.4	5.31	10.9	14.1	-3.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Brown Jr.	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	11.8	14.0	-2.21	20.5	12.3	8.21
Damian Jones	30	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-20	20	13.5	14.1	-0.58	13.6	12.4	1.16
Vince Carter	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-29	38	13.1	14.4	-1.29	12.0	13.2	-1.16
Tyrone Wallace	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-15	10	12.5	14.6	-2.07	15.1	11.7	3.37
Kevin Huerter	50	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-20	20	12.9	14.8	-1.86	14.1	11.4	2.80
DeAndre' Bembry	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-10	0	13.3	14.6	-1.35	13.5	12.0	1.50
Alex Len	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-8	-4	15.0	13.6	1.44	11.5	13.2	-1.64
Bruno Fernando	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-10	0	13.6	14.1	-0.47	14.1	11.8	2.26
Trae Young	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-4	-12	14.2	13.4	0.85	11.3	15.4	-4.12
Cam Reddish	56	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.23	-20	0	-20	14.9	12.9	1.99	11.2	14.2	-2.95
Jabari Parker	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-1	-18	14.5	13.0	1.44	12.1	13.8	-1.75
De'Andre Hunter	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	3	-26	15.0	12.6	2.36	12.2	13.5	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 117, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 112, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAC 114, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%