inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement8.0 [288] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +19.0%
Orlando Magic 87 Comeback3.2 [520] LVPJonathan Isaac (ORL): -20.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.190.090.130.031462%0.281-0.09475%0.01
Monte Morris0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.06-0.00756%0.1000.00475%-0.01
Jamal Murray0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.070.070.020.021561%0.132-0.066100%0.04
Gary Harris0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.011054%0.051-0.03450%-0.04
Juancho Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.02237%0.022-0.04475%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.030,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.04-0.01553%0.012-0.047100%0.04
Malik Beasley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.03-0.03819%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00320%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Jerami Grant-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00425%-0.062-0.05425%-0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.070.011560%0.1700.00540%-0.03
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.120.120.120.010.021669%0.222-0.113100%0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.04-0.01956%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Khem Birch00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Markelle Fultz0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04-0.040.03-0.060.01760%0.061-0.101100%0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.011246%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Mo Bamba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01312%-0.072-0.03250%-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.12-0.08-0.0050%-0.142-0.0600%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.12-0.09-0.011327%-0.132-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.428.814.028.52.035.3135.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +8.3%
DEN +22.3%
DEN +0.9%
DEN +17.2%
DEN +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game15.315.414.296.892.6109.6
season15.014.7112.0107.1
opponent14.214.5108.9110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.214.014.017.015.3
ORL15.114.817.314.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic61600.70-0.200.900.2914-102415.415.10.2415.614.90.66
Jamal Murray64630.64-0.140.790.3510-61615.415.10.3115.016.0-0.95
Paul Millsap53530.56-0.060.620.309-51416.214.02.2215.715.00.73
Gary Harris68670.460.040.420.315-1615.514.70.8615.215.7-0.43
Torrey Craig54550.420.080.340.3913-215.514.90.5715.515.20.36
Michael Porter Jr.15140.090.41-0.320.0904-413.315.6-2.3115.915.30.67
Malik Beasley26270.040.46-0.420.07-15-614.715.5-0.8615.715.20.43
Jerami Grant44430.010.49-0.480.10-37-1014.116.3-2.1915.115.6-0.45
Monte Morris3031-0.100.60-0.69-0.01-37-1015.115.4-0.3116.015.00.95
Juancho Hernangomez2525-0.100.60-0.69-0.07-15-615.415.20.2214.715.6-0.93
Mason Plumlee3032-0.230.73-0.960.09-1115-2615.515.20.3314.715.7-0.93

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khem Birch99-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-5615.315.4-0.0313.315.5-2.15
Mo Bamba2221-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-4414.215.7-1.5413.615.8-2.20
Terrence Ross4546-0.19-0.310.13-0.16-1-3214.815.9-1.0314.316.2-1.86
Jonathan Isaac6768-0.19-0.310.12-0.252-6815.415.10.3016.611.84.74
Al-Farouq Aminu4849-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-4416.214.51.6415.015.6-0.66
Markelle Fultz4948-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-4414.815.9-1.1015.914.61.27
D.J. Augustin4950-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-1-215.715.00.7814.516.2-1.74
Nikola Vucevic6364-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-1-215.814.51.2616.113.52.61
Evan Fournier5352-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.31-2-2015.315.5-0.2215.814.61.19
Aaron Gordon6563-0.620.12-0.74-0.21-1410-2415.215.6-0.3714.516.8-2.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.46,0.33,0.13,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 99, LAL 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,091.7%
NJN 87, ATL 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.27,091.6%
NJN 95, DEN 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,091.2%