inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement5.7 [652] MVPKendrick Nunn (MIA): +18.6%
Atlanta Hawks 97 Comeback1.6 [858] LVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): -15.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.030.021582%0.233-0.044100%0.03
Meyers Leonard0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.040.011073%0.1500.00250%-0.01
Tyler Herro0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.070.021653%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Duncan Robinson0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001060%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.01571%0.0700.00743%-0.04
Chris Silva0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00560%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01833%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Goran Dragic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.040.00533%0.023-0.072100%0.02
Jimmy Butler-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.17-0.03-0.051023%-0.074-0.08250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.040.061368%0.111-0.02862%-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.001260%0.114-0.10633%-0.04
Tyrone Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.001060%0.043-0.0400%0.00
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01350%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01939%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00550%0.012-0.0400%0.00
John Collins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.021150%-0.032-0.022100%0.01
Cameron Reddish0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.020.021135%-0.071-0.034100%0.01
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.01-0.00920%-0.103-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.832.216.427.43.426.3135.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +57.8%
ATL -0.1%
ATL -10.1%
MIA +2.3%
MIA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game15.514.214.2109.3100.0109.6
season14.713.8111.7106.6
opponent14.014.5113.9108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.414.614.016.915.5
ATL14.914.214.813.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler70710.69-0.190.880.0821-123315.116.4-1.3615.012.02.99
Meyers Leonard49490.56-0.060.620.0318-92715.815.20.5915.513.02.51
Kendrick Nunn67650.410.090.330.2172515.415.6-0.1514.613.41.22
Bam Adebayo73730.280.220.060.0872514.717.7-2.9314.712.91.74
Chris Silva23230.230.27-0.050.1727-517.314.92.4113.414.5-1.04
Goran Dragic40400.210.29-0.090.0945-115.415.5-0.0713.514.7-1.15
Tyler Herro61620.170.33-0.160.20-110-1115.814.90.8713.415.7-2.28
Duncan Robinson54550.040.46-0.410.13-312-1515.915.00.9214.014.5-0.57
Kelly Olynyk4847-0.090.59-0.680.20-1019-2915.215.8-0.5912.815.5-2.71

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Jones35340.10-0.600.71-0.138-172513.614.6-0.9815.415.5-0.08
Vince Carter3434-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-101113.614.5-0.8915.415.5-0.17
Tyrone Wallace4039-0.02-0.480.46-0.299-182713.015.1-2.0515.615.40.17
Bruno Fernando66-0.10-0.400.290.04-5-4-116.514.12.4216.015.40.57
DeAndre' Bembry5758-0.17-0.330.15-0.232-111313.515.3-1.8715.615.30.22
Jabari Parker5353-0.24-0.260.01-0.240-9913.315.3-1.9615.914.90.97
John Collins6666-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.21-2-7514.413.80.5715.315.7-0.41
Alex Len2929-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-90-915.113.81.3015.015.6-0.61
De'Andre Hunter5557-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-145-1915.013.21.7415.415.5-0.15
Cameron Reddish5758-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-189-2715.113.02.0515.415.6-0.17
Kevin Huerter5351-0.580.08-0.66-0.08-178-2515.013.31.6215.415.5-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 127, MEM 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,094.8%
LAC 115, ORL 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,094.6%
MIA 96, ATL 740.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,093.7%