NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	125		Excitement	9.7 [109]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): +43.3%
Charlotte Hornets	126		Comeback	30.8 [33]		LVP	Wendell Carter Jr. (CHI): -13.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.28	0.13	0.34	0.19	25	58%	0.30	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.00	11	77%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	7	69%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	17	46%	0.01	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.13	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.43	0.43	0.25	0.19	0.00	9	110%	0.45	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.00	9	94%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.12	0.01	11	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.02,0.17,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.17	0.01	21	46%	0.20	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
P.J. Washington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.02	17	75%	0.18	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	10	33%	-0.02	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	25.2	14.7	24.5	2.5	36.2	132.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +65.8%

CHI -8.8%

CHI -18.6%

CHA +2.4%

CHA +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.4	14.1	14.2	120.2	120.0	109.6
season	14.1	15.1		105.3	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	12.7	13.0	13.0	13.4
CHA	12.2	15.5	14.2	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	59	59	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.09	6	-7	13	13.5	13.3	0.16	14.4	13.8	0.66
Thaddeus Young	53	53	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.12	10	-11	21	13.7	13.1	0.56	14.7	13.5	1.22
Wendell Carter Jr.	65	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-5	9	13.1	14.0	-0.88	13.8	14.7	-0.96
Otto Porter Jr.	59	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.49	12	-13	25	12.8	14.3	-1.53	14.5	13.6	0.86
Tomas Satoransky	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-5	9	12.9	14.0	-1.06	14.2	14.0	0.19
Luke Kornet	16	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	7	-15	12.8	13.5	-0.72	13.1	14.3	-1.21
Ryan Arcidiacono	22	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	10	-21	14.1	13.2	0.90	15.0	13.9	1.17
Kris Dunn	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	5	-11	13.7	13.2	0.54	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Zach LaVine	67	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.48	-8	7	-15	13.9	12.5	1.37	13.3	15.5	-2.11
Lauri Markkanen	74	75	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.52	-8	7	-15	13.6	12.9	0.78	14.3	13.8	0.42

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	55	56	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.62	14	-13	27	14.5	13.8	0.71	14.5	12.1	2.41
P.J. Washington	80	80	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.55	8	-7	15	14.0	14.5	-0.45	13.7	12.4	1.36
Cody Zeller	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-2	5	14.4	13.3	1.18	13.3	13.7	-0.33
Dwayne Bacon	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.48	-3	4	-7	14.5	13.3	1.21	13.4	13.5	-0.18
Miles Bridges	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	-1	3	13.5	15.5	-2.06	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Marvin Williams	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	0	1	13.7	14.3	-0.59	14.3	12.9	1.39
Nicolas Batum	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	0	1	14.2	14.1	0.03	12.8	13.6	-0.77
Malik Monk	38	37	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	4	-7	13.8	14.3	-0.46	12.8	13.8	-0.95
Terry Rozier	70	67	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.03	-18	19	-37	14.3	13.9	0.41	12.5	15.1	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.27,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.37,0.47,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	88.6%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	88.3%
LAC 96, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.29,0.45,0.42,1	88.3%