NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	135		Excitement	13.7 [13]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +70.6%
Atlanta Hawks	136		Comeback	22.0 [66]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -14.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sterling Brown	0.31	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.23,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.31	0.09	0.25	0.03	22	59%	0.39	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.11,0.11	-0.05	0.12	-0.04	7	50%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.02	14	52%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	12	63%	0.21	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.07
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	-0.00	15	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Wilson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.03	-0.07	-0.03	17	56%	0.17	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Bonzie Colson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	18	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,0.71	0.71	-0.10	0.79	-0.01	19	32%	0.71	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.46	0.46	0.12	0.33	-0.01	15	77%	0.52	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.01	16	67%	0.31	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.07	0.02	14	70%	0.21	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.12	0.01	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.14	6	67%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	11	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.8	14.7	24.5	2.5	29.3	2.7	17.3	144.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +96.5%

MIL -22.7%

MIL -43.1%

ATL +28.8%

MIL -9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	12.8	14.3	114.4	114.3	109.3
season	13.5	13.6		112.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.3		112.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.1	13.9	13.3	15.3	14.8	14.0
ATL	15.7	12.3	12.9	11.4	11.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzie Colson	90	92	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.22	9	-10	19	13.6	15.3	-1.73	13.4	10.9	2.48
Pat Connaughton	63	68	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.21	-2	1	-3	13.9	14.1	-0.27	12.2	13.6	-1.38
Brook Lopez	62	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-7	13	13.4	14.6	-1.19	13.1	12.6	0.47
Ersan Ilyasova	49	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	1	-3	15.0	13.3	1.71	12.7	12.9	-0.19
Sterling Brown	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	1	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.33	13.0	12.6	0.43
Tim Frazier	118	119	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.0	0.0	14.00	12.8	0.0	12.84
D.J. Wilson	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	14.1	13.9	0.22	13.1	12.3	0.82
George Hill	57	55	-1.42	0.92	-2.34	-1.15	-9	8	-17	14.6	13.4	1.15	11.9	13.7	-1.83

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	69	69	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.78	5	-4	9	12.9	12.8	0.07	13.8	14.3	-0.45
Alex Len	62	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-10	21	13.2	12.5	0.67	13.1	15.0	-1.97
John Collins	85	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.77	-3	4	-7	12.7	13.2	-0.51	14.2	13.5	0.70
Kevin Huerter	66	68	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.70	-1	2	-3	13.2	12.4	0.83	12.9	15.4	-2.50
Trae Young	80	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.77	-5	6	-11	12.7	13.2	-0.54	14.1	13.8	0.31
DeAndre' Bembry	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-5	11	11.8	13.6	-1.88	14.1	13.9	0.21
Jaylen Adams	39	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.30	6	-5	11	13.2	12.7	0.54	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Vince Carter	44	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.23	-2	3	-5	13.2	12.7	0.51	14.0	14.0	-0.07
Deyonta Davis	46	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.26	-4	5	-9	12.6	13.0	-0.34	15.2	13.2	2.03
Kent Bazemore	53	51	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.19	-8	9	-17	13.2	12.6	0.56	15.3	13.0	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	86.8%
CLE 102, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.06,0.15,1	86.7%
ORL 92, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.24,0.59,1	86.2%