NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	8.7 [220]		MVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): +27.8%
Utah Jazz	128		Comeback	2.8 [751]		LVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): -6.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Brown Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.11	0.10	0.01	9	79%	0.21	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05
Jordan McRae	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12	-0.03	0.13	-0.02	9	41%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Bobby Portis	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.11	0.15	-0.03	0.01	22	64%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.09	5	40%	-0.06
Sam Dekker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0,0,-0.02	0.09	-0.08	0.04	25	57%	0.04	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.06
Chasson Randle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.08	0.01	7	112%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.01	23	67%	0.37	5	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.02	14	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.11	0.01	16	50%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	68%	0.28	3	-0.23	5	100%	0.05
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.6	26.4	14.7	25.6	1.6	38.6	134.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +48.3%

UTA +22.1%

UTA +4.5%

WAS -30.1%

UTA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	13.6	14.3	115.9	119.6	109.3
season	13.8	14.3		109.8	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	12.8	14.7	12.3	13.3
UTA	13.6	13.0	15.3	12.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-8	12	11.7	13.8	-2.07	13.9	13.6	0.30
Bradley Beal	84	85	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-11	18	13.5	12.6	0.86	13.8	13.2	0.57
Tomas Satoransky	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-2	0	14.5	12.0	2.46	13.9	13.4	0.44
Thomas Bryant	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	2	-8	13.7	12.8	0.92	14.0	13.2	0.77
Troy Brown Jr.	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	14.3	11.9	2.44	14.1	12.9	1.20
Jabari Parker	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-2	0	12.2	15.4	-3.22	13.0	14.9	-1.97
Bobby Portis	84	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.45	2	-6	8	13.9	11.0	2.90	14.0	12.5	1.47
Sam Dekker	31	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	11	-26	12.5	13.6	-1.12	13.5	13.7	-0.21
Jordan McRae	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	6	-16	12.0	15.0	-2.97	12.8	14.8	-2.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	61	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-6	16	13.9	13.3	0.66	13.7	12.7	0.98
Kyle Korver	43	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-14	32	12.4	14.5	-2.07	12.5	13.8	-1.25
Joe Ingles	81	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	1	2	13.6	13.8	-0.23	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Donovan Mitchell	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	8	-12	13.9	12.7	1.20	13.7	11.9	1.74
Derrick Favors	21	21	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-9	22	13.5	13.7	-0.20	13.2	13.3	-0.05
Ricky Rubio	72	69	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.40	-5	9	-14	13.8	13.2	0.65	13.7	12.6	1.09
Ekpe Udoh	19	19	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-2	8	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.3	12.8	2.47
Raul Neto	15	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	-3	10	13.6	13.6	-0.04	12.3	13.5	-1.21
Royce O'Neale	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	6	-8	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.9	12.9	2.05
Rudy Gobert	79	78	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.47	-16	20	-36	13.4	14.2	-0.83	13.1	13.9	-0.80
Thabo Sefolosha	34	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	12.7	14.1	-1.41	11.9	13.9	-2.01
Georges Niang	3	2	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	14.7	13.6	1.06	9.5	13.4	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.69,0.58,0.8,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.61,0.37,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.48,0.55,0.72,1	91.1%
PHI 83, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.69,0.98,1	90.9%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	90.5%