inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 92 Excitement3.3 [1149] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +35.1%
Denver Nuggets 95 Comeback1.1 [1159] LVPBlake Griffin (DET): -12.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.130.080.070.02967%0.1300.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,0.040.000.050.011747%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thon Maker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ish Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03928%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01629%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Andre Drummond-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04-0.050.020.001537%-0.021-0.02560%0.00
Luke Kennard-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01944%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Blake Griffin-0.130,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13-0.04-0.050.043243%-0.122-0.00475%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.350.350.170.17-0.011973%0.383-0.03786%0.05
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01771%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.00-0.092443%0.073-0.04560%-0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04740%0.021-0.0010%-0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.071038%0.013-0.03683%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.01-0.05530%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.021337%-0.0400.0010%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.729.814.522.91.734.3129.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.9%
DEN +10.0%
DEN +3.7%
DET -7.3%
DEN +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game14.814.814.394.897.9109.3
season15.314.8107.5112.0
opponent14.614.0108.1109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET20.212.713.713.614.8
DEN12.514.017.715.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer65-0.03-0.470.440.06-30-314.014.9-0.9017.414.72.69
Andre Drummond5658-0.14-0.360.23-0.4611-142515.314.21.0815.913.32.66
Zaza Pachulia1010-0.16-0.340.180.13-107-1718.314.43.8511.915.2-3.28
Bruce Brown2727-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-52-716.814.12.7315.314.70.57
Luke Kennard6262-0.17-0.330.16-0.6416-193514.415.6-1.2315.014.50.56
Wayne Ellington5960-0.22-0.280.06-0.5210-132315.014.60.4814.715.0-0.29
Blake Griffin7778-0.23-0.270.03-0.6414-173114.516.0-1.4515.113.81.31
Reggie Jackson6364-0.24-0.260.02-0.478-111914.515.4-0.8714.415.7-1.34
Ish Smith3433-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-118-1915.414.50.8715.714.41.34
Thon Maker4442-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-1815-3314.315.3-1.0513.615.8-2.16
Langston Galloway4746-0.520.02-0.540.27-2724-5113.915.7-1.8114.215.5-1.28

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap81810.55-0.050.610.1414-112514.416.9-2.4315.213.21.99
Jamal Murray77780.52-0.020.540.1712-92114.317.1-2.8415.213.31.90
Will Barton68680.360.140.220.244-1514.815.0-0.1714.316.1-1.79
Gary Harris74740.310.190.120.46-58-1314.815.0-0.2014.316.7-2.48
Torrey Craig27270.230.27-0.050.1430314.714.9-0.2015.914.41.50
Nikola Jokic69680.210.29-0.080.47-912-2115.114.30.7914.216.3-2.04
Mason Plumlee43440.160.34-0.170.1412-115.614.31.2815.314.40.91
Monte Morris46450.150.35-0.190.30-58-1315.814.01.7415.214.60.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 79, SAS 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,196.3%
LAC 91, DAL 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
SAS 86, PHX 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%