NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	8.2 [280]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +84.0%
Toronto Raptors	114		Comeback	10.2 [103]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -24.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,0.84	0.07	0.76	-0.01	11	59%	0.84	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.00	14	67%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	8	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.06	-0.06	0.01	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.06	-0.17	0.02	17	37%	-0.17	1	-0.08	7	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.4	0.40	0.13	0.25	-0.02	18	67%	0.46	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.01	9	89%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.03	14	72%	0.15	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	5	20%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	26.0	15.4	23.8	1.7	35.7	130.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.8%

TOR -12.6%

TOR -0.1%

CHA +8.4%

CHA +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	14.3	123.7	121.3	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		110.4	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		105.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.1	14.6	17.8	15.4	16.4
TOR	13.2	13.7	17.4	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	49	50	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.78	8	-7	15	14.4	18.5	-4.14	14.0	15.0	-0.95
Miles Bridges	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	17.3	14.5	2.87	14.9	13.5	1.39
Jeremy Lamb	48	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	2	-3	16.3	16.4	-0.15	14.3	14.6	-0.38
Malik Monk	32	33	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	-10	21	12.5	18.4	-5.94	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Willy Hernangomez	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	-7	15	14.8	17.7	-2.88	14.7	14.3	0.40
Kemba Walker	68	67	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	10	-19	17.6	13.1	4.49	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Dwayne Bacon	61	63	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.41	-12	13	-25	18.0	13.2	4.85	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Marvin Williams	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	3	-5	18.3	14.9	3.44	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Bismack Biyombo	21	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	8	-15	19.2	15.5	3.71	15.2	14.2	1.02
Devonte' Graham	42	44	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.47	6	-5	11	14.2	18.2	-3.97	15.4	13.6	1.81

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	23	24	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-9	17	13.2	14.8	-1.63	16.6	16.3	0.29
Danny Green	51	51	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.44	16	-17	33	13.7	15.4	-1.71	17.8	14.6	3.14
Marc Gasol	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-4	7	14.8	14.2	0.57	18.0	15.0	2.98
Kawhi Leonard	65	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-11	21	13.8	16.0	-2.25	17.5	13.9	3.64
Jeremy Lin	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	7	-15	12.9	14.7	-1.80	12.7	17.0	-4.30
Pascal Siakam	72	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	13.5	17.6	-4.16	16.6	15.5	1.13
OG Anunoby	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	15.5	14.0	1.55	13.9	17.5	-3.64
Serge Ibaka	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	10	-21	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.1	17.9	-3.82
Fred VanVleet	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-2	3	14.9	13.7	1.21	15.7	17.5	-1.83
Patrick McCaw	22	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	16	-33	17.8	13.4	4.40	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Kyle Lowry	54	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.50	-8	7	-15	15.5	13.0	2.48	17.1	15.4	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 107, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.28,0	90.6%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	90.5%
CLE 91, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.54,0.36,0.23,0.58,0	90.5%