NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	8.1 [305]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +27.1%
Miami Heat	114		Comeback	1.8 [943]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -23.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	6	87%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	14	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	16	45%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
BJ Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Alex Len	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.16,-0.24	-0.17	-0.07	0.00	11	48%	0.06	8	-0.30	7	86%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.24	-0.01	17	61%	0.40	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.08	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	60%	0.05	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	26.4	14.7	28.1	2.4	33.5	132.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.7%

ATL -7.1%

MIA +4.5%

ATL -6.5%

MIA +15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.3	111.9	112.9	109.3
season	13.6	14.8		107.2	106.3
opponent	14.3	13.9		106.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	13.8	14.5	13.6	14.4
MIA	12.6	13.3	13.7	17.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Poythress	42	43	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.28	16	-17	33	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.7	12.9	2.83
DeAndre' Bembry	43	44	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.38	15	-16	31	14.4	14.4	0.04	15.5	13.1	2.41
Justin Anderson	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-5	9	13.2	14.7	-1.43	13.8	14.2	-0.41
BJ Johnson	29	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	14.4	14.4	0.02	12.7	14.8	-2.14
Vince Carter	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-2	3	13.4	15.5	-2.11	14.9	13.2	1.62
Jaylen Adams	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	2	-5	15.1	14.0	1.02	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Trae Young	64	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-3	5	14.2	14.7	-0.44	14.4	13.7	0.74
Kevin Huerter	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-3	5	14.2	14.6	-0.36	14.7	13.6	1.11
Alex Len	47	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	5	-11	15.2	13.7	1.57	12.8	15.1	-2.23
Dewayne Dedmon	57	59	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.36	-13	12	-25	15.0	13.6	1.43	13.5	15.0	-1.59
Kent Bazemore	61	59	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.18	-22	21	-43	14.8	13.8	0.95	13.2	15.5	-2.28

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-10	21	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.1	12.9	2.15
Hassan Whiteside	33	32	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-15	31	13.6	14.4	-0.81	15.3	14.0	1.30
Rodney McGruder	69	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	1	-1	14.7	12.9	1.82	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Dwyane Wade	65	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.52	-5	6	-11	14.6	13.3	1.26	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Derrick Jones Jr.	40	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	2	-3	13.1	14.8	-1.73	14.4	14.4	0.06
Bam Adebayo	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	3	-5	14.2	14.1	0.16	14.8	14.1	0.79
Kelly Olynyk	46	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	-1	3	14.7	13.7	1.02	14.3	14.5	-0.27
Justise Winslow	76	76	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	9	-17	14.2	13.9	0.32	13.7	16.4	-2.72
Dion Waiters	54	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	2	-3	13.8	14.5	-0.77	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Udonis Haslem	10	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	8	-15	11.1	14.5	-3.35	16.0	14.3	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.79,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	92.9%
SAS 88, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.5%
NOP 123, HOU 126	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.84,1	92.2%