NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	118		Excitement	7.6 [371]		MVP	Clint Capela (HOU): +27.2%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	6.1 [345]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -13.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.00	16	64%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	8	71%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
PJ Tucker	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.01	5	150%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.01	29	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.07
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	61%	0.13	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	10	30%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	72%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.09	0.01	22	67%	0.18	6	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	27.7	14.7	27.8	1.8	28.5	130.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.5%

HOU +5.1%

CHA -0.8%

HOU +29.5%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	12.9	14.3	113.5	107.6	109.3
season	14.8	14.6		114.0	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		111.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	16.0	13.4	15.6	14.7
CHA	12.9	10.9	15.4	12.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	52	52	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.10	24	-19	43	14.3	15.0	-0.69	13.1	12.7	0.40
Clint Capela	88	88	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-8	21	14.5	15.5	-0.95	13.5	9.9	3.57
Chris Paul	70	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-12	29	13.7	16.7	-3.04	13.9	10.7	3.13
Austin Rivers	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-10	25	14.8	14.6	0.14	12.7	13.0	-0.30
Eric Gordon	76	77	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.43	-8	13	-21	15.1	13.7	1.39	12.9	12.7	0.27
Kenneth Faried	17	19	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	14.4	14.7	-0.34	12.2	13.0	-0.81
Iman Shumpert	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	13.2	14.9	-1.71	11.5	13.1	-1.57
PJ Tucker	78	77	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.43	-17	22	-39	15.8	11.5	4.26	12.2	14.9	-2.70
Terrence Jones	5	4	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	13	-21	16.0	14.6	1.37	3.2	13.3	-10.01
James Harden	76	77	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	19	-33	14.7	14.5	0.21	12.8	13.0	-0.17

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	90	88	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.27	12	-17	29	12.8	13.3	-0.46	14.8	13.9	0.89
Kemba Walker	80	80	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-19	33	12.5	14.0	-1.42	15.2	12.8	2.42
Cody Zeller	72	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-16	27	12.5	13.8	-1.33	15.4	13.1	2.23
Marvin Williams	73	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.36	10	-15	25	13.1	12.4	0.68	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	12.4	13.0	-0.65	14.9	14.6	0.22
Jeremy Lamb	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	11.4	15.9	-4.47	15.4	13.2	2.25
Malik Monk	13	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	5	-15	13.4	12.8	0.58	13.2	14.9	-1.72
Bismack Biyombo	28	27	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	14	-33	14.0	12.5	1.58	12.8	15.4	-2.54
Miles Bridges	51	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	10	-25	14.5	11.4	3.06	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Tony Parker	26	26	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.07	-22	17	-39	14.6	12.3	2.26	12.5	15.4	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.04,0,0,0,0	91.7%
MIA 87, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	90.7%
UTA 109, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0,0	90.4%