NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	117		Excitement	7.6 [382]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): +69.4%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	37.0 [42]		LVP	Caris LeVert (BKN): -11.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.69	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.19,0.69	0.13	0.55	-0.02	31	59%	0.84	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.04
Joe Harris	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.06	0.03	7	95%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Rodions Kurucs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.11	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	28	55%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	9	50%	0.12	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	56%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	32.6	14.8	29.2	2.5	34.0	139.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +56.5%

CHA -0.4%

CHA -2.3%

CHA -7.9%

BKN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	14.3	117.0	115.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.6		108.6	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.0		111.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.1	14.8	15.3	16.0	15.3
CHA	15.5	12.9	11.9	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	68	68	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-12	26	14.7	16.6	-1.87	13.8	12.7	1.12
Jarrett Allen	67	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-7	16	14.7	16.7	-2.01	13.8	12.9	0.95
DeMarre Carroll	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.65	-7	9	-16	16.0	14.6	1.40	13.4	13.6	-0.14
Caris LeVert	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	1	0	15.1	15.7	-0.65	13.9	12.8	1.16
Treveon Graham	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-6	14	13.4	16.6	-3.17	14.1	13.0	1.07
D'Angelo Russell	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	1	0	15.5	14.8	0.64	13.6	13.2	0.34
Rodions Kurucs	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-3	8	16.2	15.1	1.16	13.1	13.6	-0.41
Shabazz Napier	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	15.8	15.1	0.67	12.9	13.7	-0.79
Ed Davis	33	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	9	-16	16.7	14.7	2.01	13.0	13.7	-0.67
Allen Crabbe	53	53	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.11	-11	13	-24	16.3	14.2	2.09	12.3	14.8	-2.55

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	55	54	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.20	13	-15	28	13.6	13.4	0.23	15.6	15.0	0.55
Bismack Biyombo	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	13.4	13.5	-0.07	16.2	15.1	1.16
Miles Bridges	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-4	6	14.0	13.3	0.65	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Malik Monk	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-5	8	12.6	13.6	-1.04	17.5	14.9	2.60
Tony Parker	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.57	14	-16	30	13.2	13.8	-0.62	15.5	15.1	0.44
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	3	-8	13.4	13.6	-0.28	15.8	14.7	1.07
Jeremy Lamb	40	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	7	-16	13.2	13.6	-0.38	15.7	15.1	0.59
Kemba Walker	85	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	13.6	12.7	0.96	14.7	18.4	-3.71
Nicolas Batum	79	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	9	-20	13.7	12.7	0.97	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Marvin Williams	65	65	-1.07	0.57	-1.65	-0.66	-14	12	-26	13.5	13.5	-0.05	14.5	16.8	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.95,0.94,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,0	87.9%
MIL 103, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.68,0.93,0.93,0.85,0	87.7%
PHX 121, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0	87.5%