NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	123		Excitement	9.5 [131]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +31.7%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	3.8 [738]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -23.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.00	7	79%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	19	54%	0.25	2	-0.08	14	79%	0.04
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Yogi Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Harry Giles III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	10	61%	0.11	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.23	-0.01	-0.19	0.03	19	49%	-0.19	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.11	0.02	23	75%	0.40	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	6	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	20	60%	0.23	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.17	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	16	51%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.11
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	29.9	14.7	30.3	0.7	40.3	144.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +66.4%

SAC -18.2%

SAC -0.4%

GSW +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	12.7	13.1	14.3	109.8	112.6	109.3
season	13.3	13.4		109.2	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.3		108.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.4	13.7	11.8	13.9	12.7
GSW	12.6	13.4	15.4	11.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	67	66	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	1	-4	13.5	11.5	1.97	12.2	14.5	-2.30
Harry Giles III	35	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	12.0	13.0	-1.04	15.9	11.9	4.03
Alec Burks	13	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	1	-4	12.2	12.8	-0.60	13.3	13.1	0.21
Bogdan Bogdanovic	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-4	6	12.6	12.8	-0.15	13.3	12.9	0.38
De'Aaron Fox	76	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-5	8	12.2	13.7	-1.57	12.8	13.9	-1.08
Corey Brewer	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-4	6	14.1	12.2	1.96	13.3	13.1	0.21
Yogi Ferrell	36	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	3	-8	13.7	12.2	1.57	13.9	12.8	1.08
Harrison Barnes	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	7	-16	12.0	14.3	-2.29	13.1	13.2	-0.13
Marvin Bagley III	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.61	6	-8	14	12.6	12.9	-0.25	13.5	12.4	1.10
Buddy Hield	74	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	12.7	12.7	0.00	12.2	15.2	-2.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-4	10	12.5	15.4	-2.90	12.5	13.2	-0.71
Draymond Green	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.44	3	-1	4	12.7	14.2	-1.43	13.2	11.5	1.75
Kevin Durant	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-5	12	13.0	13.8	-0.83	11.8	15.8	-4.01
Klay Thompson	86	88	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	6	-10	13.0	13.6	-0.59	13.0	11.7	1.25
Jonas Jerebko	16	17	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-7	16	15.1	12.8	2.24	11.7	12.9	-1.16
Andre Iguodala	69	70	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	7	-12	13.7	12.2	1.57	12.3	13.3	-0.96
Alfonzo McKinnie	19	18	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	1	0	10.4	13.7	-3.29	15.3	12.2	3.15
Kevon Looney	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	14.7	12.7	2.02	11.9	13.0	-1.10
DeMarcus Cousins	63	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	8	-14	13.1	13.1	-0.00	13.2	12.1	1.10
Quinn Cook	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	6	-10	15.4	12.5	2.90	13.2	12.5	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.8,0.53,0.72,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 76, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.96,1	91.5%
LAL 87, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.84,1	90.8%
MIA 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.92,1	90.3%