NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	8.7 [222]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +26.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	3.2 [685]		LVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -43.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.08	0.02	12	85%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.26	0.05	0.22	0.00	15	55%	0.30	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.06
Davis Bertans	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Bryn Forbes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	10	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	0.00	10	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	19	29%	-0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.09	0.00	11	77%	0.28	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.04	0.03	21	79%	0.27	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	9	22%	-0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.43	-0.43	-0.06	-0.35	0.01	7	45%	-0.36	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.27

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	26.2	15.5	29.8	1.0	28.0	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +0.0%

SAS +37.0%

SAS +1.4%

SAS +9.5%

SAS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.3	110.2	108.1	109.3
season	14.8	15.4		111.7	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		107.4	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	14.6	14.1	16.9	15.0
MEM	12.1	14.2	16.6	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	54	57	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.57	12	-11	23	14.5	15.7	-1.26	15.6	12.3	3.35
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	71	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-15	31	15.2	14.7	0.44	15.2	11.8	3.38
Rudy Gay	68	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-8	17	15.5	14.0	1.49	14.5	13.6	0.84
Bryn Forbes	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-15	31	14.9	15.1	-0.20	15.1	13.0	2.19
DeMar DeRozan	82	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	-1	3	15.4	13.2	2.13	14.7	11.5	3.23
Patty Mills	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.57	-16	17	-33	14.8	15.3	-0.47	13.3	15.6	-2.29
Dante Cunningham	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.09	-9	10	-19	13.8	15.2	-1.37	8.3	15.0	-6.68
Jakob Poeltl	29	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	16	-31	14.7	15.2	-0.44	11.8	15.2	-3.38
Marco Belinelli	61	59	-0.28	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	11	-21	15.0	15.0	0.01	12.9	16.1	-3.13

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	36	38	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	13.6	14.6	-1.03	15.4	14.8	0.68
Jevon Carter	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-4	7	12.8	14.9	-2.18	13.5	15.8	-2.28
CJ Miles	50	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-11	21	12.9	15.5	-2.61	15.2	14.9	0.35
Bruno Caboclo	43	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	13.2	15.0	-1.86	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Ivan Rabb	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	1	-3	17.7	13.3	4.38	15.4	14.9	0.45
Jonas Valanciunas	48	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-5	9	13.1	15.2	-2.07	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Justin Holiday	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-2	3	14.8	13.0	1.79	15.9	13.0	2.88
Avery Bradley	79	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	0	-1	14.3	13.8	0.45	14.7	16.3	-1.66
Jaren Jackson Jr.	48	47	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	6	-13	15.3	13.2	2.10	15.4	14.7	0.76
Delon Wright	68	66	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.42	-15	14	-29	15.1	12.2	2.99	15.5	14.0	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.17,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, NOP 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.15,0	91.2%
WAS 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.23,0.26,0	91.2%
SAS 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,0	90.7%