NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	7.8 [341]		MVP	Justin Holiday (MEM): +51.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	1.1 [808]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -28.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.25	0.10	0.12	-0.03	14	68%	0.34	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.14
Luol Deng	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	10	90%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.04	0.04	11	85%	0.18	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29	-0.15	-0.18	-0.04	18	32%	-0.20	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.51	0.51	0.07	0.43	-0.01	13	55%	0.51	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Ivan Rabb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	10	73%	0.16	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Washburn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.09	0.01	14	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.12
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.19,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.14	-0.02	22	52%	0.08	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	34.2	14.8	24.4	2.4	32.9	136.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.1%

MEM +16.6%

MIN -21.9%

MEM +17.5%

MEM +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.3	109.3	113.7	109.3
season	14.4	15.4		110.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.0		107.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	14.4	14.2	13.9	14.5
MEM	14.5	15.0	16.5	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	65	64	0.53	-1.03	1.55	-0.32	29	-31	60	13.8	15.9	-2.14	16.2	14.1	2.14
Gorgui Dieng	23	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-8	14	14.3	14.5	-0.22	18.3	14.7	3.65
Isaiah Canaan	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-7	12	15.3	14.2	1.09	18.8	14.4	4.36
Anthony Tolliver	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.0	14.6	-0.59	17.8	14.8	3.02
Luol Deng	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	14.8	14.2	0.55	16.3	14.9	1.31
Jerryd Bayless	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.05	-12	10	-22	14.7	13.4	1.38	14.3	21.1	-6.73
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	14.5	14.3	0.26	15.0	17.1	-2.12
Taj Gibson	27	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.30	-26	24	-50	15.7	14.0	1.70	13.6	16.3	-2.72
Andrew Wiggins	74	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	6	-14	14.3	15.0	-0.63	14.6	18.6	-4.00
Josh Okogie	53	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	6	-14	14.1	14.9	-0.84	15.2	15.9	-0.65

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Washburn	64	67	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.28	19	-17	36	14.6	17.5	-2.84	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Mike Conley	69	72	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.17	20	-18	38	14.3	18.9	-4.61	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Ivan Rabb	65	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-5	12	15.6	15.3	0.30	14.9	13.5	1.36
Justin Holiday	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.29	2	0	2	15.3	16.6	-1.23	13.8	17.6	-3.85
Jaren Jackson Jr.	76	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	4	-6	15.0	17.7	-2.68	13.8	17.2	-3.37
Yuta Watanabe	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	8	-14	16.3	15.0	1.29	14.2	14.6	-0.44
Shelvin Mack	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	13	-24	18.4	14.1	4.28	15.5	14.0	1.53
Bruno Caboclo	43	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	14	-26	16.4	14.8	1.61	15.6	13.6	1.97
Jevon Carter	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	19.5	15.1	4.43	17.0	14.2	2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.86,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,1	91.7%
ATL 116, DEN 125	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.72,1	91.5%
UTA 106, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.5%