NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	137		Excitement	6.2 [624]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +23.5%
Washington Wizards	129		Comeback	1.4 [292]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -6.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.01	10	86%	0.24	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.21	0.19	0.06	0.05	10	95%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	8	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	7	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Omari Spellman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	-0.00	12	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.00	11	80%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.00	0.04	19	59%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	19	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.02	24	54%	0.13	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	4	79%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	30.9	14.7	28.6	2.3	31.4	135.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.0%

ATL +12.7%

WAS -0.1%

WAS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.2	14.3	131.7	125.2	109.3
season	13.6	13.8		107.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.4	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	13.5	14.7	16.6	14.6
WAS	15.1	12.7	14.7	10.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omari Spellman	65	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-7	22	14.7	14.5	0.19	12.9	13.6	-0.70
Trae Young	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	14.6	14.5	0.10	12.6	14.0	-1.37
Kevin Huerter	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	14.2	15.5	-1.28	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Taurean Prince	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	3	2	14.5	14.8	-0.34	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Alex Len	27	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-1	10	15.3	14.4	0.98	15.6	12.4	3.15
DeAndre' Bembry	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	0	8	14.5	14.7	-0.15	13.8	12.7	1.08
Dewayne Dedmon	43	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	5	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.72	14.1	12.5	1.54
Vince Carter	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	10	-12	15.7	14.0	1.67	11.5	14.1	-2.66
Jeremy Lin	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	3	2	14.5	14.6	-0.10	14.0	12.6	1.37
Kent Bazemore	33	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	9	-10	15.9	14.0	1.86	13.1	13.3	-0.14
John Collins	38	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	17	-26	13.4	15.3	-1.87	12.7	13.5	-0.84

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	56	56	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.44	22	-30	52	11.6	15.1	-3.56	15.7	13.3	2.48
Jeff Green	76	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-14	20	12.8	14.4	-1.62	14.9	13.6	1.32
Chasson Randle	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	0	-8	12.9	13.3	-0.33	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Sam Dekker	9	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	13.6	13.2	0.37	15.0	14.6	0.44
Tomas Satoransky	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	14.3	11.5	2.72	13.3	16.5	-3.19
Ian Mahinmi	15	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	8	-24	16.6	12.6	3.96	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Otto Porter Jr.	83	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-7	6	12.9	14.5	-1.60	15.0	13.2	1.71
Trevor Ariza	94	93	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-7	6	13.2	13.6	-0.37	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Thomas Bryant	27	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	6	-20	14.4	12.8	1.62	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Bradley Beal	77	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	7	-22	13.3	13.1	0.18	14.7	14.4	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.12,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, PHX 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0	93.1%
CHA 100, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	92.9%
LAL 96, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.05,0	92.6%