inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 89 Excitement3.0 [1185] MVPJeff Green (WAS): +10.3%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback1.4 [714] LVPDarren Collison (IND): -9.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
TJ Leaf0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.03775%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Doug McDermott0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.031055%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Edmond Sumner0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03739%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Davon Reed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.03850%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Myles Turner-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02945%0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Domantas Sabonis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04862%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.031250%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.0676%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Thaddeus Young-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.010.06872%0.035-0.112100%0.00
Darren Collison-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01721%-0.052-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.001664%0.112-0.014100%0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.14-0.000.071571%0.092-0.025100%0.02
Sam Dekker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01-0.05657%0.0710.0020%0.00
Chasson Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02772%0.062-0.03425%-0.01
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021060%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03955%0.053-0.04450%-0.02
Thomas Bryant0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.02250%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Troy Brown Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.73.027.214.625.32.728.3129.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +35.6%
WAS +2.6%
IND -5.1%
WAS +17.0%
IND -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDWASNBAINDWASNBA
this game15.215.114.393.7112.6109.3
season14.513.8108.4109.8
opponent14.314.6112.4105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.716.615.114.615.2
WAS14.116.115.614.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davon Reed560.00-0.500.50-0.155-232810.015.5-5.5010.715.4-4.74
Kyle O'Quinn1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-181811.615.7-4.0412.515.5-3.00
TJ Leaf3031-0.10-0.400.310.14-8-10213.715.9-2.2615.315.00.27
Aaron Holiday4543-0.12-0.380.25-0.03-3-151213.916.4-2.4314.915.3-0.45
Edmond Sumner4444-0.16-0.340.180.10-9-9015.215.2-0.0514.315.8-1.51
Doug McDermott4241-0.16-0.340.170.10-9-9014.515.8-1.2316.314.22.13
Thaddeus Young5151-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-7-416.513.72.8514.915.3-0.44
Myles Turner5352-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-10215.814.51.2714.915.4-0.53
Domantas Sabonis4545-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-9015.015.4-0.4816.114.21.95
Cory Joseph5151-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.07-9-9015.215.20.0515.814.31.51
Bojan Bogdanovic5253-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-5-816.214.02.2514.815.5-0.62
Darren Collison4647-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-2-1416.514.02.5015.115.10.09

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green58590.430.070.35-0.041621415.314.90.3914.516.4-1.90
Bradley Beal59610.370.130.24-0.3625-73215.414.70.6615.514.60.92
Trevor Ariza44440.340.160.18-0.131621414.615.5-0.9216.514.12.44
Thomas Bryant37360.290.210.07-0.121441015.115.1-0.0416.714.32.48
Tomas Satoransky45450.270.230.04-0.08126615.115.10.0516.114.41.75
Chasson Randle50500.230.27-0.040.06612-615.115.1-0.0514.416.1-1.75
Jordan McRae53510.190.31-0.120.10315-1215.214.90.3215.015.5-0.45
Sam Dekker51510.160.34-0.180.10216-1415.514.60.9214.116.5-2.44
Ian Mahinmi32340.160.34-0.180.07315-1216.614.32.2414.815.5-0.69
Otto Porter Jr.30300.070.43-0.37-0.02315-1214.515.4-0.8816.614.62.03
Troy Brown Jr.870.000.50-0.500.15-523-2811.415.4-4.0711.715.5-3.77
Gary Payton II870.000.50-0.500.15-523-2811.415.4-4.0711.715.5-3.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 76, MEM 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
MEM 83, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
CLE 94, ORL 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%