inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 106 Excitement8.8 [208] MVPDanny Green (TOR): +44.5%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback12.8 [153] LVPKelly Olynyk (MIA): -7.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.440,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.440.090.34-0.011090%0.584-0.1300%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.370,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.2,0.370.100.270.012059%0.402-0.031191%0.09
Fred VanVleet0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.050.011262%0.131-0.022100%0.02
Norman Powell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.01462%0.121-0.0500%0.00
Delon Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.00558%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Greg Monroe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.040.01660%0.0000.003100%0.03
OG Anunoby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01550%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.25,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.03-0.00759%0.216-0.24367%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.021027%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.23,0.380.380.110.280.011666%0.431-0.0600%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.06-0.011259%0.1500.0030%-0.06
Josh Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.020.001265%0.101-0.042100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.00967%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.23,0.020.02-0.070.06-0.031238%0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.00860%0.072-0.06450%-0.07
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.002100%0.063-0.061100%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.050.00540%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.828.015.026.12.532.8130.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +3.0%
TOR +48.0%
TOR +19.8%
MIA -18.6%
MIA -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game14.615.714.3112.8108.3109.3
season14.314.8111.5106.3
opponent14.314.5106.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.713.714.515.814.6
MIA14.715.715.516.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green66660.62-0.120.740.475-3814.315.4-1.1116.014.81.20
Fred VanVleet74780.490.010.490.4611014.216.1-1.9115.615.9-0.29
Pascal Siakam66650.470.030.440.4702-215.013.71.2815.715.50.25
Kawhi Leonard68710.390.110.280.42-13-414.415.4-1.0715.615.7-0.03
Serge Ibaka60610.210.29-0.080.53-1113-2415.113.91.2515.216.5-1.35
Greg Monroe21210.180.32-0.14-0.099-71614.814.60.1517.415.22.21
OG Anunoby50520.160.34-0.18-0.026-41014.614.7-0.0615.715.60.16
Delon Wright32320.030.47-0.44-0.0011015.014.50.5815.415.8-0.33
Norman Powell3334-0.050.55-0.60-0.0502-214.814.50.3114.816.1-1.29

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Whiteside59600.15-0.650.80-0.4922-244615.216.5-1.3115.812.63.23
Rodney McGruder29300.07-0.570.65-0.075-71215.215.9-0.6415.014.50.47
Tyler Johnson59570.01-0.510.530.07-20-215.216.4-1.2215.113.91.16
Derrick Jones Jr.1819-0.05-0.450.400.04-31-415.615.7-0.1213.315.0-1.74
Josh Richardson7270-0.13-0.370.23-0.5414-163015.216.9-1.6815.312.92.38
Kelly Olynyk3332-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-64-1015.815.60.2515.214.40.86
Justise Winslow6665-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.436-81415.815.30.4714.614.7-0.11
James Johnson5958-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.456-81415.515.9-0.3414.614.7-0.12
Bam Adebayo3734-0.650.15-0.800.05-2422-4616.515.21.3112.615.8-3.23
Dwyane Wade4845-1.200.70-1.90-0.38-2826-5417.014.32.7313.216.0-2.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.71,0.84,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 101, OKC 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.78,0.69,0.73,088.9%
WAS 104, BOS 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.71,0.85,0.58,087.7%
OKC 124, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,087.7%