NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	3.3 [1152]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +13.0%
Boston Celtics	129		Comeback	1.0 [1284]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -7.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	10	95%	0.15	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.00	-0.05	11	57%	0.07	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	65%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	11	32%	-0.03	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
John Collins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	8	39%	-0.01	5	-0.07	12	58%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.04	15	71%	0.17	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.02	-0.05	14	67%	0.17	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.00	0.08	12	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	10	86%	0.12	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	9	82%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	8	53%	0.04	3	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	-0.12	12	17%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.2	30.1	14.7	28.8	0.7	26.6	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.8%

BOS +4.7%

BOS +0.5%

BOS +10.1%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	13.2	14.3	99.1	118.3	109.3
season	13.6	13.9		107.2	109.9
opponent	14.7	13.9		106.3	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	10.8	13.1	13.9	13.2
BOS	11.6	14.4	12.1	14.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	42	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-29	37	11.8	14.1	-2.25	14.4	12.5	1.93
Justin Anderson	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-29	37	12.8	13.3	-0.47	16.1	12.8	3.26
Daniel Hamilton	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-29	37	12.8	13.3	-0.47	16.1	12.8	3.26
Jaylen Adams	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	10.9	13.4	-2.50	17.7	12.8	4.84
Tyler Dorsey	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-23	25	14.0	13.0	1.01	15.2	12.6	2.63
Dewayne Dedmon	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-17	13	13.0	13.5	-0.48	13.0	13.6	-0.59
John Collins	69	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-14	7	13.0	13.6	-0.64	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Alex Len	34	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-8	-5	13.6	13.0	0.62	13.8	12.9	0.90
Kevin Huerter	75	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-12	3	12.9	13.8	-0.87	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Vince Carter	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.46	-26	5	-31	13.7	12.9	0.83	13.6	13.1	0.53
Kent Bazemore	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.32	-22	1	-23	12.8	13.8	-0.93	11.9	15.4	-3.46
DeAndre' Bembry	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.48	-29	8	-37	14.2	12.5	1.68	13.5	13.1	0.40
Trae Young	50	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.23	-26	5	-31	14.4	12.1	2.30	12.0	14.4	-2.35

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	60	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.34	30	-9	39	12.7	13.8	-1.07	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Kyrie Irving	58	56	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	-5	31	12.6	13.9	-1.26	12.8	13.6	-0.87
Gordon Hayward	40	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.18	21	0	21	12.8	13.5	-0.64	13.7	12.9	0.86
Jayson Tatum	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	0	21	12.4	14.4	-1.98	13.2	13.2	0.01
Aron Baynes	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	2	17	11.6	14.0	-2.43	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Daniel Theis	45	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	7	7	14.2	12.5	1.69	14.5	12.3	2.12
Marcus Smart	64	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	18	-15	13.2	13.3	-0.06	12.8	13.7	-0.91
Jaylen Brown	47	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	20	-19	13.3	13.1	0.20	14.1	12.5	1.57
Semi Ojeleye	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	26	-31	14.9	12.7	2.14	13.9	13.0	0.94
Brad Wanamaker	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	15.2	12.9	2.37	13.6	13.1	0.43
Terry Rozier	54	55	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	29	-37	13.9	12.6	1.23	13.1	13.3	-0.28
Robert Williams III	37	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.25	-14	35	-49	14.1	12.8	1.33	11.6	14.1	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.78,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 81, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 83, DET 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%