NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	6.3 [600]		MVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): +15.6%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.4 [835]		LVP	DeAndre' Bembry (ATL): -18.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	14	67%	0.16	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.04
Trae Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	20	60%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.05	11	73%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Tyler Dorsey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.03	0.01	22	44%	0.02	5	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	11	78%	0.24	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.06	16	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	6	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.12	4	-0.10	15	80%	0.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.0	31.8	0.8	32.3	2.3	33.5	128.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.5%

DAL +19.2%

ATL -11.9%

DAL +16.3%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.3	104.9	111.8	109.3
season	13.6	14.7		107.2	108.5
opponent	14.1	13.9		109.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	15.7	13.4	13.0	14.1
DAL	12.7	15.7	13.7	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Dorsey	25	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-10	13	14.9	13.9	1.02	12.7	14.6	-1.93
John Collins	75	75	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-12	17	14.8	12.3	2.46	14.5	13.0	1.48
Justin Anderson	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-4	1	12.0	14.6	-2.59	12.2	14.5	-2.31
Kevin Huerter	75	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-7	7	14.7	12.4	2.31	14.6	12.9	1.68
Alex Len	29	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-6	5	13.4	14.4	-0.97	13.2	14.5	-1.36
Trae Young	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	14.9	12.2	2.70	14.5	13.3	1.14
Jaylen Adams	6	6	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	0	-7	12.2	14.2	-2.06	14.2	14.1	0.04
Dewayne Dedmon	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	1	-9	14.5	13.4	1.12	14.7	13.1	1.57
Vince Carter	33	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	2	-11	12.5	14.9	-2.44	13.0	14.7	-1.67
DeAndre' Bembry	40	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	2	-11	13.4	14.6	-1.16	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Kent Bazemore	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	13.5	15.4	-1.90	14.5	13.4	1.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	35	37	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-4	15	13.6	14.4	-0.80	14.5	13.9	0.64
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-3	13	14.2	14.1	0.12	14.5	13.7	0.79
Dwight Powell	30	33	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	2	3	13.3	14.5	-1.17	15.0	13.7	1.36
Luka Doncic	74	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	14.4	13.3	1.11	14.1	14.0	0.11
J.J. Barea	35	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	2	3	13.3	14.6	-1.24	14.5	13.9	0.65
Wesley Matthews	58	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	1	5	14.3	13.8	0.50	14.5	13.6	0.95
Devin Harris	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	7	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.63	13.3	14.5	-1.24
DeAndre Jordan	72	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	5	-3	14.5	13.3	1.17	13.7	15.0	-1.36
Jalen Brunson	49	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	11	-15	14.2	14.0	0.19	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Harrison Barnes	67	65	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	11	-15	14.4	13.6	0.80	13.9	14.5	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 77, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
ATL 76, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%