NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	8.9 [197]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +32.7%
LA Clippers	116		Comeback	1.3 [858]		LVP	Derrick White (SAS): -13.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.08	-0.02	11	68%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	30	50%	0.12	1	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	14	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.03	0.00	15	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.09
Derrick White	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.33	0.33	0.02	0.32	0.01	20	52%	0.37	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.08	0.04	9	68%	0.21	1	-0.07	10	90%	0.08
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	31.3	15.6	28.3	3.5	41.4	149.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +59.7%

SAS -7.8%

LAC +16.1%

SAS -18.7%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.3	108.8	114.9	109.3
season	14.8	13.9		111.7	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.4		110.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	13.5	14.8	15.7	14.8
LAC	13.8	11.8	12.9	16.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	52	49	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.04	14	-19	33	14.2	15.5	-1.29	14.6	12.6	1.95
Patty Mills	69	69	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.47	19	-24	43	14.1	16.4	-2.32	14.4	11.6	2.86
DeMar DeRozan	87	86	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	11	-16	27	14.2	18.3	-4.04	13.9	11.7	2.21
Davis Bertans	4	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	2	-9	24.2	14.4	9.81	10.0	13.7	-3.73
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-13	21	14.3	16.9	-2.62	13.8	12.3	1.58
Jakob Poeltl	21	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	6	-17	16.9	14.3	2.62	12.3	13.8	-1.58
Bryn Forbes	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	15.0	14.5	0.46	13.1	14.9	-1.83
Marco Belinelli	48	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	5	-15	16.1	13.6	2.50	13.8	13.3	0.48
Dante Cunningham	39	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.12	-14	9	-23	14.3	15.1	-0.84	12.6	14.1	-1.51
Derrick White	37	36	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.16	-28	23	-51	16.1	14.1	1.93	11.8	14.5	-2.66

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	54	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	13.6	13.5	0.10	15.2	14.4	0.76
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	13.4	13.7	-0.26	15.1	14.5	0.64
Tyrone Wallace	33	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-5	15	12.3	14.1	-1.84	15.7	14.4	1.32
Sindarius Thornwell	27	27	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-5	15	11.9	14.1	-2.26	15.4	14.6	0.84
Lou Williams	57	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	4	-3	14.4	12.5	1.93	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Danilo Gallinari	65	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.4	11.9	2.49	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Tobias Harris	84	84	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	7	-9	13.5	13.8	-0.26	14.3	17.1	-2.78
Mike Scott	27	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	12.7	13.9	-1.15	16.5	14.1	2.42
Marcin Gortat	47	45	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	13.5	13.6	-0.10	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Patrick Beverley	55	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	7	-9	13.8	13.3	0.52	14.0	15.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 84, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	91.1%
NYK 93, CHH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	91.0%
OKC 81, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.58,0.7,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	90.7%