NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	6.8 [514]		MVP	Omari Spellman (ATL): +16.8%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	2.0 [652]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -13.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.15	0.04	0.08	-0.02	22	53%	0.16	2	-0.01	20	80%	0.05
Allonzo Trier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	9	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.13	5	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Knox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	11	72%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	69%	0.09	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	19	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	16	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	32.2	13.7	34.3	1.6	40.5	152.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.2%

ATL -4.3%

NYK +16.6%

NYK +5.5%

NYK +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	14.3	106.7	102.9	109.3
season	14.5	13.6		103.8	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.6	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	11.8	15.4	15.7	14.1
ATL	13.5	14.3	12.8	13.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	81	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.20	20	-15	35	13.7	15.6	-1.96	13.6	13.0	0.52
Noah Vonleh	88	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.20	16	-11	27	14.1	14.2	-0.07	12.9	16.1	-3.20
Emmanuel Mudiay	48	44	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	15.0	13.4	1.67	12.2	14.3	-2.15
Damyean Dotson	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	-1	7	12.2	15.4	-3.17	13.3	13.5	-0.26
Enes Kanter	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	2	1	14.3	13.9	0.39	13.7	13.1	0.61
Allonzo Trier	80	79	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.37	-7	12	-19	14.4	13.2	1.25	13.1	14.4	-1.26
Mitchell Robinson	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	2	1	13.7	14.3	-0.65	13.3	13.5	-0.26
Frank Ntilikina	47	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	13.8	14.4	-0.63	15.5	11.6	3.91
Mario Hezonja	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.31	-13	18	-31	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.2	12.9	2.28
Kevin Knox	19	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.16	-14	19	-33	17.3	13.4	3.91	11.8	13.8	-1.96

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	19	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-15	25	15.6	13.0	2.61	17.7	13.2	4.50
Alex Len	37	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	1	-7	13.1	13.6	-0.52	13.1	14.6	-1.48
Omari Spellman	62	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-7	9	14.1	12.4	1.70	14.5	13.6	0.90
Vince Carter	22	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-3	1	12.7	13.6	-0.91	13.7	14.2	-0.58
Trae Young	68	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-8	11	13.5	13.4	0.12	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Alex Poythress	21	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	0	-5	12.2	13.7	-1.51	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Jeremy Lin	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	13.2	13.6	-0.42	14.0	14.2	-0.21
DeAndre' Bembry	68	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-13	21	13.3	13.7	-0.43	15.8	10.7	5.19
Taurean Prince	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	13.6	13.2	0.32	14.2	13.9	0.34
Dewayne Dedmon	39	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	7	-19	12.9	13.7	-0.79	13.2	14.6	-1.38
Kent Bazemore	71	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.09	-17	12	-29	13.4	13.5	-0.02	12.8	16.9	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
PHI 102, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
NJN 111, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%