inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement8.3 [267] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +26.8%
Atlanta Hawks 123 Comeback1.1 [429] LVPDeAndre' Bembry (ATL): -13.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0.270,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.230.050.011876%0.291-0.026100%0.04
Wayne Ellington0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.040.001165%0.132-0.11475%0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.02-0.001359%0.094-0.10650%-0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Justise Winslow-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.02,0.02,-0.01-0.040.02-0.011158%0.235-0.25475%-0.03
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00250%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.020.02844%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Rodney McGruder-0.050,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.050.05-0.090.011556%0.021-0.072100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.190.190.090.10-0.00775%0.1900.00250%-0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.130.13-0.000.11-0.021956%0.285-0.15580%0.04
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011358%0.0700.0000%0.00
Alex Poythress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00360%0.0600.004100%0.02
Alex Len0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.01579%0.071-0.02475%0.01
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.021160%0.071-0.02367%-0.02
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01671%0.175-0.132100%0.01
Omari Spellman0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.02478%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.03-0.00967%0.071-0.0400%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.01833%-0.053-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.430.414.630.21.737.4142.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +6.3%
ATL +23.2%
ATL +5.4%
ATL +16.3%
MIA -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game14.613.814.3116.8121.8109.3
season14.813.6106.3107.2
opponent13.914.3112.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.913.214.814.614.6
ATL12.314.511.916.713.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson4951-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-81114.215.0-0.7414.213.30.86
Bam Adebayo6263-0.06-0.440.38-0.3811-162714.215.4-1.2014.812.02.81
Wayne Ellington1819-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-2-112.915.0-2.1113.313.9-0.60
Josh Richardson7979-0.13-0.370.23-0.285-101514.714.20.5113.913.00.90
Kelly Olynyk3432-0.17-0.330.160.01-61-714.414.7-0.3611.714.7-3.02
Derrick Jones Jr.2424-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-2-116.014.21.8613.513.8-0.39
Dwyane Wade5453-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.20-3-2-115.014.20.7314.612.81.87
Hassan Whiteside3635-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-149-2315.414.21.2811.914.8-2.90
Rodney McGruder7371-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.35-50-514.714.50.2213.713.9-0.16
Justise Winslow7678-0.570.07-0.65-0.28-105-1514.515.0-0.4513.813.70.07

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kent Bazemore47490.59-0.090.670.2113-82113.114.3-1.2113.815.4-1.61
Vince Carter37380.450.050.400.228-31114.113.60.4815.114.30.73
Trae Young68680.440.060.380.2950513.514.3-0.7714.115.8-1.68
Kevin Huerter63600.220.28-0.060.1914-313.614.0-0.3515.513.32.24
Alex Len51520.210.29-0.08-0.038-31112.615.0-2.3915.214.01.17
Dewayne Dedmon47450.200.30-0.100.32-49-1315.212.52.7714.015.1-1.13
DeAndre' Bembry48480.170.33-0.160.1705-513.613.9-0.3615.014.30.64
Omari Spellman45440.150.35-0.200.0150513.514.0-0.5214.314.8-0.50
Taurean Prince46490.120.38-0.250.21-38-1114.513.11.4114.015.2-1.25
Jeremy Lin32320.010.49-0.470.04-16-714.413.41.0015.814.11.74
Alex Poythress2120-0.070.57-0.640.14-712-1913.813.70.0114.314.7-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.86,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, LAL 1020.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.82,192.5%
LAL 97, IND 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.64,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.84,192.2%
TOR 85, HOU 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,192.1%