NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	3.0 [1191]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +13.7%
New York Knicks	126		Comeback	1.7 [813]		LVP	Kevin Knox (NYK): -8.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	53%	0.03	3	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	9	60%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	15	62%	0.05	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	44%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	22	60%	0.14	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	5	86%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.02	3	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	16	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.3	30.3	14.6	28.3	2.4	27.6	133.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.8%

NYK +2.1%

NYK +17.4%

NYK +14.1%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	11.7	13.9	14.3	95.5	111.5	109.3
season	13.6	14.5		107.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	13.9		112.5	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	10.9	13.9	9.8	12.4	11.7
NYK	13.4	12.7	14.2	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	10.0	11.9	-1.86	15.7	13.7	1.98
Jaylen Adams	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	9.4	11.9	-2.45	15.7	13.7	1.98
Omari Spellman	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-21	23	12.5	11.5	1.04	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Vince Carter	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-26	33	10.7	12.6	-1.97	15.7	12.3	3.43
Miles Plumlee	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-14	9	11.9	11.7	0.22	12.1	14.3	-2.24
Kent Bazemore	69	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-19	19	11.9	11.4	0.41	14.1	13.5	0.64
Jeremy Lin	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-14	9	11.7	11.7	-0.06	13.2	14.2	-0.99
Tyler Dorsey	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-7	-5	12.3	11.4	0.82	14.2	13.8	0.41
DeAndre' Bembry	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-7	-5	11.1	12.3	-1.26	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Trae Young	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	1	-21	11.8	11.4	0.45	13.9	13.9	0.05
Alex Poythress	47	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	2	-23	12.0	11.5	0.49	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Alex Len	51	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-5	-9	11.7	11.7	0.02	13.8	13.9	-0.12
Taurean Prince	79	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.24	-23	4	-27	12.4	10.1	2.28	13.3	15.1	-1.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.24	22	-3	25	13.7	14.0	-0.21	12.6	11.3	1.34
Mario Hezonja	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	5	9	15.0	13.3	1.70	12.8	11.0	1.79
Tim Hardaway Jr.	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	5	9	13.1	15.1	-2.00	12.1	11.0	1.17
Trey Burke	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	5	9	13.5	14.2	-0.78	12.2	11.3	0.86
Kevin Knox	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	18	-17	13.7	14.1	-0.49	10.6	12.8	-2.13
Lance Thomas	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	6	7	13.8	13.9	-0.08	11.9	11.6	0.32
Allonzo Trier	61	62	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	10	-1	14.2	13.5	0.77	11.3	12.2	-0.98
Ron Baker	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	14	-9	14.2	13.5	0.78	11.3	12.2	-0.86
Enes Kanter	66	64	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	12	-5	13.9	13.8	0.11	11.8	11.5	0.31
Frank Ntilikina	81	78	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	21	-23	14.2	13.2	1.03	11.3	12.6	-1.32
Mitchell Robinson	3	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	21	-23	8.0	14.1	-6.05	9.5	11.8	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
HOU 77, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 98, HOU 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%