NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	4.1 [1032]		MVP	Damion Lee (ATL): +8.0%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.3 [1135]		LVP	Isaiah Taylor (ATL): -18.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	16	58%	0.07	2	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	61%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damion Lee	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew White III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	13	36%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	17	35%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	18	32%	-0.13	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.5	15.3	27.1	1.7	25.4	123.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.5%

PHI +0.7%

ATL -2.3%

PHI +0.5%

PHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	12.9	13.8	14.7	94.4	83.5	107.5
season	13.9	14.6		108.1	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	10.9	12.6	12.1	16.1	12.9
ATL	13.8	13.6	16.1	11.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-10	30	10.1	14.6	-4.49	15.5	12.7	2.75
Ben Simmons	61	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-11	32	11.3	14.9	-3.59	15.4	11.7	3.65
Robert Covington	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-9	28	11.6	14.5	-2.90	14.4	12.9	1.49
Dario Saric	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	-9	28	11.2	15.1	-3.88	14.3	13.1	1.23
Marco Belinelli	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	13.1	12.6	0.45	14.2	13.2	0.97
JJ Redick	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	0	10	12.4	13.4	-1.04	13.5	14.1	-0.58
Richaun Holmes	50	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	19	-28	15.0	11.0	4.00	13.1	14.4	-1.34
Ersan Ilyasova	64	65	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.32	-10	20	-30	14.6	10.4	4.21	12.7	15.3	-2.56
Markelle Fultz	41	43	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	14.2	12.0	2.20	12.0	14.9	-2.89
T.J. McConnell	31	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.48	-16	26	-42	15.1	12.0	3.16	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Furkan Korkmaz	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	22	-34	19.7	12.3	7.40	9.7	14.2	-4.48

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	42	40	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-14	18	11.9	15.0	-3.11	14.4	12.0	2.41
Andrew White III	44	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	12.3	14.8	-2.44	14.7	11.8	2.91
Isaiah Taylor	69	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-5	0	13.6	14.0	-0.40	12.7	13.1	-0.42
Mike Muscala	62	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.22	1	-11	12	13.2	14.6	-1.41	14.0	11.5	2.55
Tyler Dorsey	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	13.0	14.9	-1.94	13.2	12.4	0.86
John Collins	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-16	22	13.5	14.2	-0.64	13.2	12.4	0.78
Damion Lee	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	3	-16	14.5	12.1	2.49	12.0	15.1	-3.10
Dewayne Dedmon	67	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	4	-18	15.0	11.9	3.11	12.2	14.1	-1.92
Taurean Prince	56	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.16	-26	16	-42	15.9	11.5	4.47	10.8	15.1	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 98, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
ATL 96, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%