NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	8.5 [209]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +19.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	122		Comeback	2.4 [998]		LVP	Dewayne Dedmon (ATL): -6.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.16	-0.00	13	58%	0.30	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.05
John Collins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	8	79%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Andrew White III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.03	0.13	-0.07	0.03	26	63%	0.23	4	-0.20	8	100%	0.07
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	39%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Tyler Dorsey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.14	0.03	25	57%	0.23	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	14	62%	0.26	3	-0.12	9	100%	0.08
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	66%	0.23	5	-0.19	9	89%	0.12
Sterling Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	32.0	16.8	28.4	1.8	36.0	141.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +16.1%

ATL -6.0%

MIL +7.8%

MIL +24.6%

MIL +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	12.3	14.7	109.3	113.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.4		108.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	14.2	13.4	17.0	14.5
MIL	14.1	10.1	11.0	14.5	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	59	61	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.21	13	-18	31	13.8	15.5	-1.70	13.1	11.1	1.97
Dennis Schroder	76	76	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-13	21	15.3	12.7	2.63	12.2	12.3	-0.12
Andrew White III	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.1	14.6	-0.51	12.2	12.3	-0.09
Tyler Cavanaugh	17	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	14.6	14.5	0.12	10.7	12.5	-1.85
Tyler Dorsey	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.4	0.39	11.2	12.9	-1.68
Dewayne Dedmon	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-2	-1	15.6	12.6	3.03	12.1	12.6	-0.53
Damion Lee	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-5	5	14.7	14.4	0.27	12.4	12.2	0.22
Taurean Prince	87	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	2	-9	14.6	14.1	0.48	12.2	12.3	-0.09
Mike Muscala	64	63	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.24	-18	13	-31	13.6	16.0	-2.40	12.2	12.4	-0.17
Isaiah Taylor	55	56	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.48	-13	8	-21	13.7	15.4	-1.64	12.8	11.7	1.17

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	65	65	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-8	21	11.6	13.2	-1.58	15.4	13.2	2.15
Khris Middleton	84	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	11.3	15.5	-4.17	15.2	12.3	2.90
John Henson	77	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-2	9	12.2	12.4	-0.22	15.0	13.4	1.67
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	85	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	12.3	12.1	0.14	14.8	13.6	1.20
Eric Bledsoe	68	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	3	-1	12.5	11.9	0.57	14.8	14.2	0.60
Brandon Jennings	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	2	1	11.9	12.5	-0.57	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Thon Maker	28	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	7	-9	13.0	12.0	1.05	12.8	15.2	-2.45
Jason Terry	27	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	4	-3	13.2	12.0	1.23	13.0	15.0	-1.96
Jabari Parker	47	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	10	-15	13.6	11.2	2.37	13.3	15.5	-2.14
Sterling Brown	17	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	12.9	12.1	0.81	13.4	14.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 78, POR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.89,1,1	91.5%
LAC 100, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	91.4%
LAL 98, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.94,0.9,1	91.4%