NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	7.2 [424]		MVP	CJ Miles (TOR): +11.9%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	2.2 [982]		LVP	Isaiah Taylor (ATL): -12.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kent Bazemore	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	87%	0.19	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Josh Magette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jaylen Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	13	34%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	13	39%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Taylor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	11	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	12	66%	0.13	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malcolm Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.2	12.0	32.2	2.4	25.4	130.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -3.5%

TOR +13.7%

TOR +16.3%

TOR +24.7%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	14.7	90.9	109.3	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		104.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.4		105.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.9	13.4	15.1	16.5	14.1
TOR	15.3	16.1	14.9	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	52	53	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.07	7	-23	30	15.0	13.1	1.89	16.4	13.9	2.46
Josh Magette	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	12.8	14.2	-1.39	18.2	15.1	3.08
Isaiah Taylor	42	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-11	6	13.6	14.5	-0.95	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Jaylen Morris	42	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-3	-10	12.8	15.1	-2.24	15.4	15.2	0.16
Kent Bazemore	55	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-12	8	15.5	12.3	3.20	15.1	15.5	-0.38
John Collins	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-10	4	15.5	12.3	3.22	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Dennis Schroder	55	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	14.5	13.7	0.75	15.5	15.0	0.43
Taurean Prince	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-14	12	14.7	13.3	1.43	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Miles Plumlee	32	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-2	-12	11.9	15.2	-3.32	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Mike Muscala	41	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	12.2	15.5	-3.29	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Tyler Dorsey	55	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	5	-26	13.7	14.6	-0.85	14.8	15.7	-0.90

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	55	56	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.01	22	-6	28	14.2	16.7	-2.57	15.1	12.8	2.31
Jakob Poeltl	43	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.00	21	-5	26	13.7	16.5	-2.76	15.2	13.3	1.95
Pascal Siakam	38	38	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	6	4	14.8	15.6	-0.85	15.0	13.6	1.47
Fred VanVleet	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	8	0	14.7	16.1	-1.38	14.5	13.5	1.00
DeMar DeRozan	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.24	18	-2	20	15.5	15.0	0.43	14.2	14.0	0.21
Delon Wright	37	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	16	-16	15.0	15.5	-0.49	14.2	14.0	0.22
Norman Powell	13	14	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	10	-4	17.7	14.9	2.79	12.1	14.5	-2.39
Serge Ibaka	51	54	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	16	-16	15.6	14.9	0.78	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Alfonzo McKinnie	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	15.7	15.3	0.40	9.0	14.2	-5.23
Lucas Nogueira	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	15.7	15.3	0.40	9.0	14.2	-5.23
Kyle Lowry	46	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.23	5	11	-6	16.0	14.6	1.46	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Jonas Valanciunas	51	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	20	-24	16.5	13.9	2.68	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Malcolm Miller	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	20	-24	16.2	14.9	1.33	13.8	14.2	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1	92.8%
DEN 91, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	92.6%
NYK 110, NOH 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.3%