inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 117 Excitement7.4 [395] MVPKevin Durant (GSW): +36.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 123 Comeback1.1 [415] LVPNick Young (GSW): -10.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.370,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.370.360.030.022778%0.464-0.0910100%0.07
Klay Thompson0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.090.040.03-0.021553%0.091-0.002100%0.03
Draymond Green0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.011355%0.0600.003100%0.01
JaVale McGee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
David West0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00560%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Omri Casspi-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01125%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Stephen Curry-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.041747%0.117-0.192100%0.02
Nick Young-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.081-0.0300%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.340.340.230.110.002571%0.394-0.0512100%0.07
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.3,0.240.240.080.12-0.042654%0.272-0.032100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.05-0.021450%0.1000.00650%-0.04
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.050.050.040.020.02490%0.102-0.052100%0.03
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011040%0.0100.0000%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,00.00-0.030.01-0.02550%0.022-0.022100%0.03
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00530%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.724.615.427.12.839.4140.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +21.7%
GSW -1.3%
POR +11.9%
POR +14.3%
POR +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWPORNBAGSWPORNBA
this game12.914.714.7112.5117.1107.5
season13.715.2112.6107.8
opponent14.315.1105.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.315.212.711.512.9
POR11.316.116.815.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West2828-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-7813.112.80.2816.913.93.06
Omri Casspi44-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-2-213.512.80.6621.014.46.56
Kevon Looney45-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-5417.712.75.0822.614.38.31
Shaun Livingston3234-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-2-213.412.60.7817.413.44.07
JaVale McGee1515-0.14-0.360.230.07-71-813.512.80.7810.515.4-4.84
Andre Iguodala6062-0.16-0.340.19-0.429-152413.512.01.5014.914.40.53
Zaza Pachulia1414-0.16-0.340.170.13-104-1411.913.0-1.0813.514.9-1.37
Nick Young3633-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-3012.912.9-0.0113.615.2-1.53
Draymond Green8685-0.23-0.270.05-0.344-101412.514.7-2.1814.615.1-0.57
Klay Thompson8485-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-2-4212.713.5-0.8514.415.7-1.31
Kevin Durant8182-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.28-60-612.613.7-1.0114.316.1-1.79
Stephen Curry7678-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-71-812.713.4-0.7713.916.9-2.92

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard84850.63-0.130.760.1317-112814.415.7-1.2313.211.22.02
Al-Farouq Aminu80790.54-0.040.590.318-21014.116.5-2.3512.813.2-0.39
CJ McCollum87860.490.010.490.297-1815.013.02.0312.813.0-0.16
Maurice Harkless62600.280.220.060.2224-214.714.7-0.0611.614.5-2.87
Jusuf Nurkic63640.160.34-0.170.0251415.213.91.3013.412.01.33
Ed Davis28280.100.40-0.310.15-28-1015.114.50.5712.812.9-0.06
Evan Turner44420.090.41-0.310.27-612-1814.215.0-0.7511.413.8-2.41
Pat Connaughton24240.080.42-0.340.0224-212.515.3-2.8912.313.0-0.69
Zach Collins13140.070.43-0.360.0124-214.914.70.2714.712.62.14
Shabazz Napier40380.050.45-0.400.20-511-1616.213.72.4914.611.82.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 87, SAS 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,192.4%
SEA 98, LAL 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,192.1%
MIL 99, IND 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,192.0%