NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	4.9 [869]		MVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): +12.6%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.1 [659]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -18.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	52%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	10	63%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	40%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Raul Neto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.08	8	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	6	-0.20	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	11	68%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	5	64%	0.11	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.07	4	56%	0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	0.08	4	89%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	18	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.9	15.0	26.2	2.3	27.3	124.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.4%

ATL +1.9%

ATL +9.6%

UTA -1.0%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	14.7	93.8	109.5	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.6	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		109.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	14.8	15.5	14.6	15.2
ATL	14.2	16.5	14.5	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-22	30	11.6	15.8	-4.13	15.6	14.9	0.77
Joe Ingles	58	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.14	-6	-8	2	15.1	15.3	-0.29	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Rudy Gobert	57	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	-6	-2	15.1	15.2	-0.06	14.9	15.1	-0.19
Ricky Rubio	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.22	-10	-4	-6	14.8	15.7	-0.92	15.1	14.9	0.19
Jonas Jerebko	38	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-19	24	14.9	15.3	-0.45	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Raul Neto	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-15	16	14.9	15.3	-0.34	15.0	15.0	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	61	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.2	14.6	0.54
Joe Johnson	31	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	3	-20	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.4	14.8	0.59
Derrick Favors	52	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	2	-18	15.8	14.4	1.36	15.3	14.6	0.70
Alec Burks	47	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-7	0	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Royce O'Neale	40	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	0	-14	15.3	15.1	0.27	15.4	14.7	0.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	45	45	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	-11	36	14.8	15.1	-0.28	16.5	14.0	2.49
Mike Muscala	33	31	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-3	20	15.4	14.8	0.57	15.9	14.8	1.14
John Collins	40	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	-3	20	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.5	14.2	2.35
Dennis Schroder	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	10	-6	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Taurean Prince	49	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.36	20	-6	26	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.4	15.0	0.40
Ersan Ilyasova	47	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	9	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.02	15.1	15.2	-0.17
Kent Bazemore	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	1	12	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Marco Belinelli	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	22	-30	14.5	15.6	-1.04	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Tyler Dorsey	21	22	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	21	-28	16.6	14.5	2.03	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Luke Babbitt	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	17	-20	15.9	14.7	1.18	15.5	15.1	0.42
Miles Plumlee	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	15	-16	15.6	14.8	0.84	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Isaiah Taylor	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	16.7	14.8	1.85	11.4	15.6	-4.11
Dewayne Dedmon	42	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	18	-22	14.3	15.6	-1.30	14.2	16.0	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DET 85, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%