NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	3.8 [1084]		MVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): +11.5%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.0 [679]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -8.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	2	133%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	16	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.07	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	36%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
David Nwaba	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	2	133%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	17	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	36%	-0.03	4	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	22.1	14.6	27.5	2.4	25.5	121.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.5%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +0.6%

ATL -3.6%

CHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.6	14.7	111.9	92.4	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	15.0		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.4	13.1	13.2	14.6	13.3
ATL	14.2	15.7	13.5	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	69	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	3	10	13.6	12.6	0.97	14.1	15.9	-1.86
Robin Lopez	54	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	13.6	12.9	0.74	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Denzel Valentine	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	1	14	13.3	13.2	0.10	15.0	14.3	0.73
Lauri Markkanen	63	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	11	-6	13.8	12.5	1.26	13.8	16.1	-2.24
Jerian Grant	54	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	13.6	12.9	0.74	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Nikola Mirotic	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	5	6	12.4	13.9	-1.47	15.6	14.0	1.66
Ryan Arcidiacono	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	7	2	12.9	13.6	-0.74	15.5	13.9	1.61
Bobby Portis	38	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	8	0	12.5	13.8	-1.26	15.9	13.9	2.03
Zach LaVine	38	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	11	-6	12.5	13.8	-1.26	14.6	14.7	-0.01
David Nwaba	48	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	17	-18	13.4	13.2	0.25	15.1	14.3	0.87
Quincy Pondexter	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	17.7	13.1	4.65	14.5	14.7	-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	14.4	14.7	-0.22	16.7	13.0	3.71
Josh Magette	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	14.4	14.7	-0.22	16.7	13.0	3.71
Tyler Dorsey	33	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-21	26	14.8	14.6	0.20	14.0	12.9	1.06
Mike Muscala	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-17	18	14.0	14.8	-0.81	13.2	13.3	-0.06
Malcolm Delaney	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-15	14	14.4	14.8	-0.33	12.8	13.5	-0.70
Miles Plumlee	32	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	17.6	13.3	4.28	12.4	13.6	-1.18
John Collins	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-11	6	13.6	15.7	-2.16	13.5	13.1	0.36
Ersan Ilyasova	51	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-1	-14	16.0	13.4	2.67	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Kent Bazemore	58	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-1	-14	16.0	13.0	2.94	13.0	13.6	-0.54
Dewayne Dedmon	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-11	6	12.8	16.3	-3.55	13.9	12.7	1.16
Dennis Schroder	68	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-1	-14	14.4	15.1	-0.75	13.8	12.4	1.40
Marco Belinelli	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	4	-24	13.5	16.0	-2.45	13.3	13.3	0.04
Taurean Prince	46	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	4	-24	14.9	14.4	0.47	11.2	14.8	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 103, NOK 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 89, DEN 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%