NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	6.4 [571]		MVP	Jordan Bell (GSW): +18.1%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	1.2 [1103]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -13.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	15	71%	0.14	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	16	67%	0.13	5	-0.09	4	25%	-0.03
Alex Caruso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	16	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Hart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	13	71%	0.19	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.01	-0.01	20	62%	0.19	1	-0.01	13	92%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	3	114%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	42%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	18	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	9	59%	0.03	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	30.2	14.4	29.9	2.7	31.6	136.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.6%

GSW +21.0%

LAL -0.5%

GSW +4.4%

LAL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.4	14.7	14.7	102.9	110.8	107.5
season	13.7	13.7		105.7	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	15.9	12.0	12.1	13.4
GSW	15.1	13.6	16.8	13.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Caruso	17	15	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-15	23	11.8	13.7	-1.87	14.9	14.7	0.18
Jordan Clarkson	33	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-10	13	12.5	13.8	-1.24	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Josh Hart	36	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-8	9	13.3	13.4	-0.13	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-8	9	14.4	13.1	1.29	15.7	14.4	1.35
Julius Randle	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-15	23	12.2	14.6	-2.35	14.8	14.6	0.25
Corey Brewer	12	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	4	-15	15.7	13.1	2.58	12.6	14.9	-2.37
Larry Nance Jr.	26	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	9	-25	14.8	12.9	1.90	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-5	3	13.1	14.1	-1.07	15.1	13.6	1.48
Kyle Kuzma	90	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	13.6	11.7	1.94	15.2	11.4	3.74
Brandon Ingram	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	13.6	12.8	0.88	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Lonzo Ball	79	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	6	-19	13.6	12.8	0.72	14.5	15.5	-1.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	79	81	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-8	23	14.3	16.0	-1.71	13.6	12.6	0.96
Jordan Bell	52	53	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.06	22	-15	37	13.9	15.6	-1.70	14.2	12.5	1.73
Patrick McCaw	60	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-7	21	14.6	14.8	-0.20	13.2	13.7	-0.51
Klay Thompson	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	1	5	14.6	15.0	-0.45	13.6	13.0	0.59
Draymond Green	66	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	14.5	15.2	-0.74	13.7	12.9	0.75
Nick Young	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	7	-7	15.0	14.6	0.41	13.8	13.2	0.64
David West	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.2	14.4	0.75	13.8	13.2	0.57
Kevon Looney	18	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	12	-17	15.5	14.5	0.95	10.8	14.0	-3.21
Andre Iguodala	45	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	16	-25	15.2	14.4	0.79	13.3	13.5	-0.23
Omri Casspi	41	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	20	-33	15.8	14.0	1.78	12.2	14.2	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.91,1,1	93.6%
CLE 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.8%
PHX 94, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1	92.7%