NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	6.1 [637]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +40.6%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	41.0 [39]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -15.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.24,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.13	-0.02	13	54%	0.27	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Poythress	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.07	-0.02	9	73%	0.12	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	21	38%	-0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.28	0.21	0.08	24	70%	0.41	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.04
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.19	-0.02	7	62%	0.25	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	24.4	15.4	24.6	1.8	35.2	129.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +13.2%

NYK +10.4%

NYK +19.8%

NYK +10.8%

IND -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.7	105.2	114.9	107.5
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	105.9
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	13.9	15.6	17.3	15.1
NYK	18.4	12.8	15.7	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Poythress	14	13	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-17	27	13.6	15.3	-1.76	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Lance Stephenson	41	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-8	9	14.4	15.5	-1.11	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Cory Joseph	42	39	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.89	14.1	16.1	-1.95
Myles Turner	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.24	-14	7	-21	15.4	14.7	0.68	15.0	15.5	-0.41
Domantas Sabonis	59	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-11	15	14.7	15.6	-0.85	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Darren Collison	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-7	7	15.8	12.3	3.51	15.5	14.2	1.30
Victor Oladipo	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	2	-11	14.6	16.8	-2.22	15.6	14.0	1.58
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	1	-9	15.5	14.4	1.11	15.5	14.9	0.54
Thaddeus Young	70	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.35	-14	7	-21	15.4	14.2	1.26	15.7	13.9	1.78

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	31	32	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.26	23	-16	39	15.2	15.3	-0.03	16.4	14.4	2.00
Enes Kanter	60	63	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.29	20	-13	33	14.7	16.2	-1.51	15.8	13.7	2.14
Kristaps Porzingis	75	75	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.20	20	-13	33	15.1	15.6	-0.48	15.7	12.7	3.08
Frank Ntilikina	45	47	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-5	17	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.5	14.7	0.77
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	8	-9	15.0	16.0	-1.00	15.1	15.1	-0.07
Doug McDermott	36	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	7	-7	15.4	15.1	0.32	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Jarrett Jack	49	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	12	-17	15.3	15.1	0.21	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Michael Beasley	13	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	17	-27	15.1	15.3	-0.19	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Courtney Lee	57	57	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.03	-9	16	-25	15.4	15.1	0.27	13.9	16.8	-2.99
Kyle O'Quinn	33	33	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	22	-37	16.7	14.5	2.19	13.7	15.8	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.64,0.43,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.84,1,1	91.2%
MEM 113, SEA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.74,1	90.8%
DET 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	90.6%