NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	6.7 [510]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	1.6 [807]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -28.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.J. Barea	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.07	0.11	-0.02	10	39%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.06
Wesley Matthews	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	12	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gian Clavell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.18,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	20	51%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.29	-0.16	-0.12	0.00	14	29%	-0.17	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	13	58%	0.29	3	-0.13	12	83%	0.07
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.04	-0.03	12	73%	0.17	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	62%	0.14	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	33.5	14.8	25.3	2.4	32.8	135.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +56.9%

MEM +4.2%

DAL -0.8%

DAL -18.2%

MEM +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.7	91.9	101.1	107.5
season	15.4	15.4		105.3	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	13.3	15.3	14.4	14.3
MEM	14.5	14.9	15.3	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	26	23	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-10	15	13.4	14.6	-1.26	15.7	15.3	0.45
Dwight Powell	33	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	13.8	14.5	-0.70	16.1	15.1	1.01
Yogi Ferrell	46	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-3	1	13.6	14.9	-1.32	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Gian Clavell	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	8.4	14.8	-6.33	15.8	15.4	0.46
J.J. Barea	53	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	3	-11	14.7	13.8	0.91	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Nerlens Noel	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-16	27	15.8	13.5	2.30	16.9	14.5	2.49
Dennis Smith Jr.	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-8	11	14.6	13.7	0.97	15.6	15.0	0.58
Salah Mejri	22	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.15	-17	12	-29	16.7	13.6	3.05	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Harrison Barnes	79	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-3	1	14.2	14.8	-0.61	14.6	18.7	-4.10
Wesley Matthews	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.42	-7	2	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.46	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	56	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	4	-13	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.4	14.0	2.33

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	56	58	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.53	8	-3	11	15.3	15.5	-0.23	13.7	15.2	-1.59
Dillon Brooks	52	53	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	14.4	16.7	-2.29	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Jarell Martin	63	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	5	-5	15.2	15.8	-0.67	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Mike Conley	61	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	8	-11	16.0	14.3	1.72	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Marc Gasol	66	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.53	-7	12	-19	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.1	14.8	-0.75
Brandan Wright	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	-1	7	14.7	15.6	-0.87	16.6	13.5	3.11
Chandler Parsons	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	0	5	15.8	15.2	0.67	14.7	14.1	0.55
Andrew Harrison	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	14	-23	16.2	14.8	1.42	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Mario Chalmers	38	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.19	4	1	3	15.2	15.5	-0.36	16.2	13.0	3.25
Tyreke Evans	43	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.35	9	-4	13	15.2	15.5	-0.31	14.7	13.9	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.77,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.97,1	92.2%
GSW 100, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.0%
BOS 95, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.91,1	92.0%