NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	4.1 [973]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +19.5%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	1.5 [1270]		LVP	Thabo Sefolosha (ATL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	9	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.22	0.03	0.05	21	71%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.02	9	73%	0.20	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	27.3	15.8	29.3	3.7	30.3	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.0%

IND +5.1%

IND +1.9%

IND +16.8%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	14.8	95.6	113.0	107.7
season	14.4	14.9		104.2	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		108.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.7	14.9	16.1	18.1	16.4
IND	13.5	16.4	13.9	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	34	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-16	14	16.5	16.3	0.26	14.6	15.7	-1.08
Kris Humphries	49	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-10	2	17.2	15.3	1.93	15.7	14.7	1.01
Mike Dunleavy	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-12	6	15.1	17.1	-2.00	15.0	15.5	-0.51
DeAndre' Bembry	56	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-10	2	16.7	15.8	0.87	16.1	13.8	2.25
Taurean Prince	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-14	10	18.1	14.7	3.33	15.0	15.6	-0.67
Jose Calderon	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-9	0	17.1	15.1	2.05	14.7	16.2	-1.51
Ryan Kelly	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-3	-12	16.3	16.4	-0.09	16.1	14.7	1.45
Thabo Sefolosha	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-3	-12	15.5	17.2	-1.73	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Mike Muscala	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	-8	-2	15.3	17.2	-1.93	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Malcolm Delaney	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-5	-8	15.2	17.9	-2.66	15.5	15.0	0.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	70	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-4	26	15.4	15.0	0.33	16.9	14.8	2.15
Paul George	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	3	12	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.6	15.4	1.21
Monta Ellis	48	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	4	10	14.6	16.0	-1.44	16.5	16.2	0.36
Jeff Teague	61	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	5	8	15.4	15.0	0.44	17.4	14.6	2.80
Myles Turner	61	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	5	8	15.7	14.5	1.17	17.1	15.1	2.02
Kevin Seraphin	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	13	-8	14.5	15.7	-1.17	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Aaron Brooks	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	11	-4	14.5	15.7	-1.17	15.1	17.1	-1.96
CJ Miles	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.8	17.7	-2.82
Lance Stephenson	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	16	-14	16.3	14.5	1.80	16.0	16.7	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 75, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%