inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 90 Excitement3.7 [1055] MVPNicolas Batum (CHA): +12.0%
Charlotte Hornets 105 Comeback1.8 [911] LVPTim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): -7.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.04769%0.0400.0020%-0.03
Dwight Howard0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.02965%0.102-0.05250%-0.01
Dennis Schroder0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.00-0.001757%0.103-0.071100%0.00
Kris Humphries0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.021159%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Ryan Kelly-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.0430%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.15-0.00-0.0930%-0.034-0.0210%-0.00
Taurean Prince-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.011337%-0.051-0.01450%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.031150%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00870%0.151-0.03771%-0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.011057%0.0800.003100%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.021161%0.082-0.001100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.00967%0.071-0.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.01850%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.011650%0.0400.0000%0.00
Briante Weber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01573%0.041-0.0010%-0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04543%0.021-0.00475%-0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01657%0.0200.0020%-0.03
Christian Wood00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.028.215.424.41.828.0123.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +30.7%
CHA +9.9%
ATL -15.3%
CHA +26.7%
ATL -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHANBAATLCHANBA
this game15.416.114.896.8116.7107.7
season14.415.1104.2107.9
opponent14.814.9107.9104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.016.015.813.115.4
CHA16.416.016.215.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala1110-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-233111.615.9-4.2719.515.73.84
Jose Calderon1110-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-233111.615.9-4.2719.515.73.84
Ersan Ilyasova5351-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-212715.814.81.0116.515.60.84
DeAndre' Bembry2221-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-222911.616.6-4.9916.316.00.26
Kris Humphries1716-0.13-0.370.23-0.192-171914.015.7-1.7118.215.62.55
Thabo Sefolosha5352-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-8116.414.12.2315.916.3-0.39
Dennis Schroder5755-0.27-0.23-0.030.09-12-3-916.613.53.0515.916.3-0.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.6465-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-4-715.615.00.5315.816.8-0.93
Ryan Kelly2321-0.39-0.11-0.270.11-172-1915.315.4-0.1214.316.6-2.29
Dwight Howard6563-0.39-0.11-0.290.25-227-2915.614.90.6715.417.7-2.36
Malcolm Delaney3332-0.41-0.09-0.310.30-249-3315.515.30.1314.916.7-1.84
Taurean Prince5654-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.08-13-2-1115.814.71.1116.615.31.31

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli40400.59-0.090.69-0.3231-164715.116.9-1.7416.714.42.28
Frank Kaminsky66700.57-0.070.64-0.0822-72916.116.10.0115.515.00.53
Marvin Williams68680.51-0.010.51-0.0519-42315.617.7-2.1115.914.11.80
Briante Weber35370.430.070.37-0.0617-21915.716.4-0.7115.415.40.06
Jeremy Lamb35350.350.150.20-0.1216-11715.516.5-0.9914.615.9-1.23
Nicolas Batum55570.150.35-0.200.18-116-1716.315.70.6616.713.33.46
Kemba Walker55560.070.43-0.370.12-217-1916.415.70.7115.415.4-0.06
Christian Wood560.000.50-0.500.12-419-2320.215.84.357.815.9-8.09
Treveon Graham560.000.50-0.500.12-419-2320.215.84.357.815.9-8.09
Brian Roberts560.000.50-0.500.12-419-2320.215.84.357.815.9-8.09
Cody Zeller4142-0.080.58-0.650.13-722-2916.415.80.6415.515.30.14
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4042-0.090.59-0.690.14-823-3116.216.00.2015.115.6-0.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 89, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
MIL 76, CHA 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
POR 98, GSW 1250.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%