NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	135		Excitement	4.0 [996]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +23.6%
Atlanta Hawks	130		Comeback	1.1 [952]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -3.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.24	0.30	0.01	0.07	21	83%	0.28	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.18	0.02	-0.02	27	61%	0.22	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17	0.00	0.15	-0.02	8	56%	0.21	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	90%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.07	0.07	16	64%	0.17	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.29	-0.04	0.12	20	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.04	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.0	28.3	16.5	27.5	2.6	40.2	143.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.5%

CLE +3.2%

ATL -3.7%

CLE +1.5%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.1	14.8	128.6	126.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		113.5	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	12.9	17.4	15.5	14.6
ATL	13.5	13.3	14.5	11.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	80	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	14.6	14.6	0.08	12.5	14.7	-2.18
LeBron James	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	15.2	12.3	2.97	13.4	11.7	1.62
Channing Frye	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-12	29	15.5	13.8	1.73	13.9	12.2	1.71
Iman Shumpert	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	-1	7	14.4	15.0	-0.62	12.3	14.2	-1.97
Kyle Korver	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	14.2	15.4	-1.26	12.6	13.9	-1.28
Richard Jefferson	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-2	9	13.8	15.0	-1.23	14.2	12.5	1.71
Tristan Thompson	68	67	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	11	-17	15.2	13.5	1.71	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Deron Williams	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.9	-0.69	14.5	12.3	2.26
Derrick Williams	41	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	6	-7	13.4	15.4	-1.94	13.1	13.0	0.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	28	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	12.1	13.4	-1.26	13.2	15.2	-2.03
Malcolm Delaney	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.3	12.7	2.58	12.1	15.0	-2.98
Ersan Ilyasova	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.44	12	-17	29	12.2	13.9	-1.71	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Tim Hardaway Jr.	78	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.64	15	-20	35	12.1	16.0	-3.88	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Dwight Howard	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	8	-21	13.5	12.5	0.97	15.2	14.0	1.22
Dennis Schroder	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	13.3	12.6	0.61	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Paul Millsap	76	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	13.4	12.1	1.28	14.9	13.7	1.23
Thabo Sefolosha	65	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	11	-27	14.2	11.1	3.18	15.8	12.9	2.86
Kent Bazemore	76	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.19	-10	5	-15	12.7	14.1	-1.43	14.9	13.7	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAC 101, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%