NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	9.9 [72]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +79.3%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	7.8 [246]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -31.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.16	0.01	15	61%	0.29	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.01	11	67%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	67%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	6	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	9	50%	-0.11	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.21
Paul George	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.31	0.00	-0.32	-0.00	18	48%	-0.29	3	-0.02	10	100%	0.08

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.79	0.79	0.14	0.66	0.01	22	62%	0.86	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.20	0.21	0.00	8	100%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	82%	0.18	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	6	56%	0.11	3	-0.27	4	50%	-0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	7	21%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.18	0.02	9	33%	-0.09	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.2	15.4	28.6	2.5	37.3	141.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +86.2%

SAS +24.5%

IND -22.9%

IND -37.8%

SAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.8	104.2	108.7	107.7
season	14.9	15.4		107.5	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	15.7	14.6	16.0	15.4
SAS	16.0	16.3	14.2	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	39	37	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	15.1	15.6	-0.44	15.5	15.3	0.21
Rakeem Christmas	29	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	0	-1	14.0	16.0	-2.00	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Kevin Seraphin	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.9	15.2	0.74
CJ Miles	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-7	13	16.3	14.2	2.06	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Thaddeus Young	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	1	-3	15.8	15.3	0.56	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Rodney Stuckey	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	7	-15	14.1	16.2	-2.10	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Glenn Robinson III	37	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	9	-19	14.2	16.2	-1.97	14.8	15.7	-0.96
Jeff Teague	58	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.54	7	-8	15	16.2	14.1	2.10	15.4	15.4	0.04
Paul George	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.52	5	-6	11	16.3	13.7	2.61	15.7	14.7	1.01
Myles Turner	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-5	9	16.2	14.1	2.15	15.6	15.0	0.60
Monta Ellis	48	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.49	-6	5	-11	14.0	16.8	-2.81	15.2	15.6	-0.36

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	45	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-6	13	15.6	15.2	0.41	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Dejounte Murray	42	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-5	11	15.3	15.5	-0.28	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Jonathon Simmons	23	23	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-7	15	15.1	15.5	-0.43	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Pau Gasol	40	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	-5	11	15.1	15.7	-0.60	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Danny Green	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	3	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.04	16.4	14.0	2.36
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	3	-5	15.6	15.1	0.50	16.3	13.9	2.37
Kawhi Leonard	63	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.52	-11	12	-23	15.6	15.0	0.60	15.9	14.3	1.60
Davis Bertans	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-4	9	13.9	15.7	-1.77	13.6	15.7	-2.12
David Lee	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	-4	9	15.5	15.3	0.20	14.9	15.8	-0.83
Patty Mills	49	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	6	-11	15.7	15.0	0.69	16.2	14.4	1.78
Dewayne Dedmon	28	30	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.10	-12	13	-25	16.1	15.1	1.05	15.4	15.4	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.65,0.46,0.81,0.85,0.55,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.42,1	90.9%
BOS 81, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.55,0.42,1	90.2%
PHI 91, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.33,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	90.1%