NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	3.6 [1091]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +12.2%
LA Clippers	99		Comeback	1.1 [921]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -12.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	78%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	47%	0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	12	31%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	92%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Diamond Stone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	27.6	14.8	29.4	2.5	24.4	122.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.8%

ATL -0.9%

ATL -10.2%

LAC +14.6%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	14.8	84.8	101.0	107.7
season	14.4	15.0		104.2	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.6	15.7	13.6	16.9	14.6
LAC	15.7	14.3	13.1	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre' Bembry	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-19	23	15.7	14.4	1.33	16.2	14.4	1.81
Lamar Patterson	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-21	27	15.7	14.3	1.33	17.1	14.1	3.03
Mike Scott	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-19	23	16.4	14.0	2.43	15.0	14.5	0.50
Kris Humphries	28	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-23	31	15.2	14.3	0.94	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Malcolm Delaney	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	14.0	14.9	-0.96	13.4	15.4	-2.06
Mike Dunleavy	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-14	13	14.6	14.6	0.05	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Mike Muscala	21	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-7	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.25	14.8	14.6	0.21
Taurean Prince	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-9	3	14.7	14.4	0.25	14.1	15.3	-1.14
Dwight Howard	52	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-3	-9	14.2	15.0	-0.85	14.7	14.6	0.12
Paul Millsap	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-1	-13	14.1	15.4	-1.37	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Kent Bazemore	37	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	2	-19	14.3	14.8	-0.49	15.1	14.4	0.61
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	3	-21	14.0	15.4	-1.33	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Dennis Schroder	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	2	-19	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.6	14.8	-0.19

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-5	25	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.6	14.6	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	-3	21	14.7	14.7	-0.01	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Blake Griffin	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	-1	17	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.1	15.4	-1.23
JJ Redick	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	1	13	15.1	14.1	1.00	13.7	15.6	-1.97
Jamal Crawford	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	0	15	14.0	15.5	-1.51	15.0	14.0	0.96
Raymond Felton	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	10	-5	14.2	15.3	-1.14	14.9	14.2	0.73
Marreese Speights	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	13	-11	14.4	14.8	-0.35	14.4	14.6	-0.24
Alan Anderson	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	18	-21	14.5	14.8	-0.34	15.3	14.1	1.17
Wesley Johnson	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	18	-21	14.7	14.7	0.01	14.6	14.5	0.07
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	16	-17	15.6	14.2	1.39	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Brandon Bass	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.2	14.6	0.67	17.5	14.2	3.34
Diamond Stone	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.8	14.5	2.25	18.5	14.4	4.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CLE 85, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
IND 100, PHX 124	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%